title: Long-term prognostic significance of ventricular late potentials after a first acute myocardial infarction.
abstract: Ventricular late potentials (VLP) have been shown to be independent predictors of arrhythmic events after myocardial infarction. However, many studies have had one or more limitations: limited follow-up period, small study group, possible selection bias, inadequate statistical analysis, or inclusion of patients with previous infarction. The purpose of this study was to assess the long-term prognostic value of VLP in a large group of unselected patients after a first acute myocardial infarction. Time-domain signal averaging was performed in 458 patients (380 male, 78 female, mean age 59 +/- 11 years) a mean of 10 days (range 7 to 13 days) after a first acute myocardial infarction. The overall prevalence of VLP was 20% (90 of 458 patients). By univariate analysis a left ventricular ejection fraction <40% (p = 0.002) and the presence of an occluded infarct-related artery (p = 0.006) were the only statistically significant predictors for the development of VLP. During a median follow-up of 70 months, 21 (5%) patients died suddenly, and 11 (2%) patients had documented sustained ventricular tachycardia. The presence of VLP (p < 0.0001), older age (p = 0.02), and an occluded infarct-related artery (p = 0.045) were the only variables significantly associated with the occurrence of serious arrhythmic events during follow-up. The probability of having no arrhythmic events was 99% at 1 year and 96% at 5 years in the absence of VLP and 87% at 1 year and 80% at 5 years in the presence of VLP (4.6-fold increase in arrhythmic risk; 95% confidence interval: 2.3 to 9.1). VLPs are powerful predictors of serious arrhythmic events in patients after a first acute myocardial infarction, and their prognostic value, although waning with time, persists for at least 7 years. This study also provides further evidence that an open infarct-related artery may reduce the arrhythmic risk after myocardial infarction.
authors.affiliation: Cardiology Center, University Hospital, Geneva, Switzerland.
authors.forename: M
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Zimmermann
authors.forename: A
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Sentici
authors.forename: R
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Adamec
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Metzger
authors.forename: B
authors.initials: B
authors.lastname: Mermillod
authors.forename: W
authors.initials: W
authors.lastname: Rutishauser
mesh_terms: D000200:Action Potentials; D000328:Adult; D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D004562:Electrocardiography; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D009203:Myocardial Infarction / Q000401:mortality / Q000503:physiopathology*; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D011379:Prognosis; D012815:Signal Processing, Computer-Assisted; D013318:Stroke Volume; D016019:Survival Analysis; D016277:Ventricular Function, Left