title: Prognostic models--what is their future?
abstract: Estimation of prognosis for an individual patient is a valuable tool for the clinician. During the last decade, there has been an increasing number of prognostic models developed. Such models identify variables which have a statistical correlation with a clinically useful end-point (such as death). However, confidence limits of estimates are often wide, and over-reliance on prognostic models may be inappropriate. Ideally, models should be useful, intuitive and simple to use.
authors.affiliation: Liver Unit, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Birmingham, UK.
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Neuberger
mesh_terms: D006801:Humans; D008105:Liver Cirrhosis, Biliary / Q000175:diagnosis*; D008111:Liver Function Tests; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D011379:Prognosis