title: Planning for alcohol-problem prevention through complex systems modeling: results from SimCom.
abstract: This article describes a computer-based model of alcohol use and misuse intervention called SimCom. This generic model, based on the best available scientific knowledge, incorporates eight interaction subsystems. When loaded with actual data from a locality, the model has the ability to "act like" this location and can be used to forecast the future effects of alternative prevention strategies. The article describes benchmark testing of a model for the state of California, including projected prevention strategies for that state.
authors.affiliation: Prevention Research Center, Berkeley, CA 94704, USA.
authors.forename: H D
authors.initials: HD
authors.lastname: Holder
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D000368:Aged; D000437:Alcoholism / Q000517:prevention & control*; D001185:Artificial Intelligence; D003198:Computer Simulation; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D008954:Models, Biological; D016571:Neural Networks, Computer; D010934:Planning Techniques; D011322:Primary Prevention / Q000379:methods*