Vaccination policies for chaos reduction in childhood epidemics.
This paper considers the problem of controlling a childhood epidemic described by a susceptible-infective-recovered (SIR) model. The epidemic has a chaotic behavior, with large outbreaks entailing considerable costs. The control problem is set up to perform a chaos reduction, namely to yield a beneficial compression of the outbreaks of infectives. A simple class of vaccination policies is considered with this aim.
Piccardi
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Dipartimento di Elettronica e Informazione, Politecnico di Milano, Italy. piccardi@elet.polimi.it
Lazzaris
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D002648:Child; D004196:Disease Outbreaks / Q000517:prevention & control*; D017143:Fuzzy Logic; D006291:Health Policy; D006801:Humans; D007239:Infections / Q000453:epidemiology*; D015233:Models, Statistical; D017711:Nonlinear Dynamics; D011050:Policy Making; D012621:Seasons; D014611:Vaccination / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*