Assessing transfer probabilities in a Bayesian interpretation of forensic glass evidence.
When someone breaks glass a number of tiny fragments may be transferred to that person. If the glass is broken in the commission of a crime then these fragments may be used as evidence. A Bayesian interpretation of this evidence relies on the forensic scientist's ability to assess the probability of transfer. This paper examines the problem of assessing this probability and suggests some solutions.
Curran
J M
JM
Department of Statistics, University of Auckland, New Zealand. curran@stat.auckland.ac.nz
Triggs
C M
CM
Buckleton
J S
JS
Walsh
K
K
Hicks
T
T
D001499:Bayes Theorem; D003020:Clothing; D005554:Forensic Medicine; D005898:Glass; D016013:Likelihood Functions; D008962:Models, Theoretical