The impact of HIV/AIDS on adult and child mortality in the developing world.
At the beginning of the AIDS epidemic some observers predicted that this disease would increase mortality so much that it would cause population decline in many countries. Others have said that the mortality impact of AIDS would not be large. This report reviews the evidence available to date in this issue and presents a simple methodology for assessing the magnitude of the impact at the country level, given a few pieces of readily available information. The paper also presents projections of the likely impact of HIV-AIDS on adult and child mortality in the developing world and for a number of specific developing countries.
Stover
J
J
Futures Group International, CT 06033, USA.
D000163:Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome / Q000401:mortality* / Q000635:transmission; D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D000368:Aged; D002648:Child; D002675:Child, Preschool; D003906:Developing Countries; D004812:Epidemiologic Methods; D005260:Female; D015658:HIV Infections / Q000401:mortality / Q000635:transmission; D015528:HIV Seroprevalence; D006801:Humans; D007223:Infant; D007226:Infant Mortality; D007231:Infant, Newborn; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D011247:Pregnancy; D018571:Sentinel Surveillance