title: Prediction of gait velocity in ambulatory stroke patients during rehabilitation.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  To quantify prediction of gait velocity in ambulatory stroke patients during rehabilitation.
  
  
  METHODS
  Single group (n = 42) at the beginning of rehabilitation (Test 1) and 8 weeks later (Test 2).
  
  
  METHODS
  Inpatient rehabilitation.
  
  
  METHODS
  Unilateral first stroke; informed consent; able to walk 10 meters.
  
  
  METHODS
  
  
  
  METHODS
  Gait velocity at Test 1, age, time from stroke to Test 1, side of lesion, neglect.
  
  
  METHODS
  Gait velocity at Test 2, gait velocity change.
  
  
  RESULTS
  The correlation between initial gait velocity and gait velocity outcome at Test 2 was of moderate strength (r2 = .62, p<.05). However, even at its lowest, the standard error of prediction for an individual patient was 9.4 m/min, with 95% confidence intervals extending over a range of 36.8 m/min. Age was a weak predictor of gait velocity at Test 2 (r2 = -.10, p<.05). Gait velocity change was poorly predicted. The only significant correlations were initial gait velocity (r2 = .10, p<.05) and age (r2 = .10, p<.05).
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  While the prediction of gait velocity at Test 2 was of moderate strength on a group basis, the error surrounding predicted values of gait velocity for a single patient was relatively high, indicating that this simple approach was imprecise on an individual basis. The prediction of gait velocity change was poor. A wide range of change scores was possible for patients, irrespective of their gait velocity score on admission to rehabilitation.
authors: School of Physiotherapy, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Victoria, Australia.
authors: P A
authors: PA
authors: Goldie
authors: T A
authors: TA
authors: Matyas
authors: G J
authors: GJ
authors: Kinsella
authors: M P
authors: MP
authors: Galea
authors: O M
authors: OM
authors: Evans
authors: T M
authors: TM
authors: Bach
mesh_terms: D000368:Aged; D002561:Cerebrovascular Disorders / Q000503:physiopathology / Q000534:rehabilitation*; D005260:Female; D005684:Gait / Q000502:physiology; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D010343:Patient Admission; D011930:Reaction Time / Q000502:physiology; D016138:Walking / Q000502:physiology