Detailed population projections for small areas: the Massachusetts experience.
There is an urgent and growing need for population projections that are not only detailed by geographic unit, but are also detailed by demographic characteristics. A high level of disaggregation allows the planner considerable flexibility to aggregate the projected data in a variety of geographic and demographic configurations. This study reports on the methodology and results of the Massachusetts experience in developing detailed population projections. Combining conventional with some not-so-conventional techniques, population projections are developed for 351 geographic units, as well as 108 demographic categories. The projections are currently in use in a large variety of public and private planning activities.
D002391:Catchment Area, Health; D003710:Demography; D005298:Fertility; D005544:Forecasting / Q000379:methods*; D005843:Geography; D008404:Massachusetts; D015233:Models, Statistical; D011157:Population Dynamics; D015996:Survival Rate