Population forecasts for health planning: an assessment of the state of the art.
Health planning agencies make use of age-sex detailed forecasts of population. This article evaluates sources of forecasts, notes the essential role of assumptions in forecasts, and indicates the general quality of techniques for projecting components of population change. It clarifies for health planners what demographers can--and can not--deliver.
D003710:Demography; D006285:Health Planning; D011158:Population Growth / Q000639:trends*; D014481:United States