[Epidemiology of acute cerebrovascular disease in Lleida from 1996 to 1997. Predictive factors of mortality at short and medium term].
BACKGROUND
Given the great clinical relevance of the cerebrovascular disease, the incidence, nosology, vascular risk factors and factors predicting short and medium-term survival after stroke were evaluated in Lleida (Spain).


METHODS
Five hundred forty-five consecutive patients with an acute stroke admitted to the Hospital Universitario Arnau de Vilanova during the period 1996-1997 were evaluated. A descriptive epidemiological study and a multivariate logistic regression analysis of predictive factors of mortality at 1-month and 1-year after the stroke were made. The latter provided a clinical scoring system for predicting survival.


RESULTS
The incidence rate of stroke was 138.3/100,000 inhabitants. Significant risk factors were hypertension and peripheral vasculopathy. There were 80.1% of ischemic and 19.9% of hemorrhagic strokes (p < 0.001). A Glasgow scale < or = 7, hemianopsia and hemorraghic stroke were significant predictors of 1-month mortality, whereas age > or = 70 years, diabetes, atrial fibrillation and limb weakness decreased survival at 1 year.


CONCLUSIONS
The incidence rate of stroke in Lleida is low respect to other studies in Spain. Simple clinical measures may help to establish a prognosis at short and medium-term.
Jover-Sáenz
A
A
Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario Arnau de Vilanova, Lleida, España. jporcelp@medynet.com
Porcel-Pérez
J M
JM
Vives-Soto
M
M
Rubio-Caballero
M
M
D000208:Acute Disease; D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D017677:Age Distribution; D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D002391:Catchment Area, Health; D005260:Female; D015600:Glasgow Coma Scale; D006423:Hemianopsia / Q000209:etiology; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D011379:Prognosis; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012307:Risk Factors; D017678:Sex Distribution; D013030:Spain / Q000453:epidemiology; D020521:Stroke / Q000150:complications / Q000175:diagnosis / Q000401:mortality*; D015996:Survival Rate
Epidemiología de la enfermedad cerebrovascular aguda en la provincia de Lleida durante el período 1996-1997. Factores predictivos de mortalidad a corto y medio plazo.