[Lifetime probability of developing a melanoma in the Ile-de-France in 1994].
OBJECTIVE
The probability of developing a cancer during lifetime is a global indicator, understandable by patients. It permits to establish a hierarchy of risks. An example of this indicator is calculated for melanoma.


METHODS
The Seidman's method is used, with results of melanoma incidence in the Paris region in 1994 (PETRI's study).


RESULTS
The risk of developing a melanoma during lifetime is 0.6 p. 100 for men and 1 p. 100 for women.


CONCLUSIONS
Discussion of the assumptions used shows that this risk is underestimated. Although, it is high enough to justify preventive actions.
Service de Prévention et Dépistage des Tumeurs de la Ville de Paris.
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M
Souques
D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D017677:Age Distribution; D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D015982:Bias; D002423:Cause of Death; D002648:Child; D002675:Child, Preschool; D005260:Female; D005544:Forecasting; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D007223:Infant; D008297:Male; D008545:Melanoma / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000209:etiology / Q000401:mortality / Q000517:prevention & control; D008875:Middle Aged; D010297:Paris / Q000453:epidemiology; D011159:Population Surveillance; D012307:Risk Factors; D017678:Sex Distribution; D012878:Skin Neoplasms / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000209:etiology / Q000401:mortality / Q000517:prevention & control; D014481:United States / Q000453:epidemiology
Probabilités de développer un mélanome au cours de la vie, en Ile-de-France en 1994.