Graphic representation of sequential Bayesian analysis.
Previously undescribed algebraic transforms of Bayes' theorem define families of operating points in the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) space which, at given pre-test probability, produce constant post-test probabilities. These isopredictive operating points form straight lines in the ROC space. The lines can be used to emulate Bayesian sequential analysis in a strictly graphic procedure, which can be applied in clinical work and medical education.
Heller
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I
Department of Internal Medicine H, Tel-Aviv Medical Center, Israel.
Topilsky
M
M
Shapira
I
I
Isakov
A
A
D001499:Bayes Theorem; D003196:Computer Graphics; D003661:Decision Support Techniques; D006801:Humans; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D012372:ROC Curve