title: Forecasting patient services: a 21st century vision of an academic health centre.
abstract: This article provides an overview of the development and implementation of the McGill University Health Centre model for forecasting patient services in the year 2004, and advice on how to apply the model. Critical success factors and case examples are highlighted. The insights provided will be of value to hospitals and other institutions that recognize the necessity of engaging in long-range planning and forecasting.
authors.affiliation: McGill University Health Centre Planning Team, Canada.
authors.forename: A A
authors.initials: AA
authors.lastname: Katravas
authors.forename: P E
authors.initials: PE
authors.lastname: Major
authors.forename: A K
authors.initials: AK
authors.lastname: Macpherson
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Lynn
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Fortin
authors.forename: L
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Lecher
authors.forename: K
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Vaughn
authors.forename: D
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Riley
authors.forename: N
authors.initials: N
authors.lastname: Steinmetz
mesh_terms: D000046:Academic Medical Centers / Q000458:organization & administration / Q000706:statistics & numerical data / Q000639:trends*; D002170:Canada; D003697:Delphi Technique; D005544:Forecasting / Q000379:methods; D006752:Hospital Planning / Q000379:methods* / Q000706:statistics & numerical data / Q000639:trends; D017146:Models, Organizational; D020380:Needs Assessment; D010934:Planning Techniques; D012985:Software Design; D014600:Utilization Review