title: A simple method for estimating incidence from prevalence.
abstract: A two-state deterministic model is used to estimate the incidence of an irreversible disease from prevalence and mortality data. The method is simpler than those described previously. Diabetes and dementia are used as examples.
authors.affiliation: Research Department, Sisters of Charity of Ottawa Health Service Inc., Ottawa, Ontario, K1N 5C8, Canada.
authors.forename: G B
authors.initials: GB
authors.lastname: Hill
authors.forename: W F
authors.initials: WF
authors.lastname: Forbes
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Kozak
mesh_terms: D000367:Age Factors; D002170:Canada / Q000453:epidemiology; D003704:Dementia / Q000453:epidemiology; D003920:Diabetes Mellitus / Q000453:epidemiology; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D008297:Male; D015233:Models, Statistical; D015995:Prevalence