[Trends in hospital anesthesiology-resuscitation workforce in the forthcoming years. Is a crisis about to happen?].
Due to a drastic decrease, by governmental regulations, of the number of trainees in medical specialties, only 113 anaesthesiologists have been trained annually from 1988 to 1998, versus 440 annually from 1978 to 1988. If this training rate remains unchanged the manpower will decrease in 2010 to the 1980 level. In the opposite, the number of anaesthetics increased from 3.5 millions in 1980 to about 8 millions in 1996. If governmental health care policy remains unchanged, a major shortage of anaesthesiologists is to be expected from 2010 on. This shortage will occur earlier if anaesthesiologists retire before the age of 65 years.
Pontone
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Service d'anesthésie et de réanimation chirurgicale, hôpital Robert-Debré, Paris, France.
D000367:Age Factors; D000761:Anesthesia Department, Hospital / Q000639:trends; D000776:Anesthesiology; D005544:Forecasting; D000078329:Workforce