title: Risk of death due to chronic chagasic cardiopathy.
abstract: In this longitudinal study 5,710 people were included. The inclusion criteria were two positive serological results for Trypanosoma cruzi infection, 15 and 50 years old and no other demonstrable disease at the time of study. In the five year follow up 1,117 patients were lost. The follow up involved yearly evaluation of serology, clinical examination, X-ray of thorax, and ECG, for 4,593 patients and 263 were contacted at home because they did not assist for their clinical consultant. Time average of follow up was 5.3 years. Eighty nine (1.5%) of the 4,593 patients died during the follow-up period, 63 (71%) by cardiac insufficiency (CI) and 26 (29%) by severe ventricular arrhythmias. Diagnosis of cardiomegaly was present in all the patients with diagnosis of CI and in 15 (5%) of the patients with diagnosis of arrhythmias. The ECG alterations of these patients show 61 right bundle branch block (RBBB), associated or not with left anterior hemiblock (LAHB), 47 pathological Q wave and 70 primary repolarization alterations; 61 had polyfocal ventricular arrhythmia. The death rate was similar in the sexes and was more frequent between 40 and 50 years of age. Information on 1,380 recuperated patients shows that 15 died with no previous symptoms and without medical assistance and were interpreted as sudden death. The latest ECG in three follow-up of these patients indicates (before death) that only one had normal study and 14 presented 12 RBBB; 9 LAHB; 7 isolated ventricular arrhythmia; 10 repolarize alterations; 2 pathological Q wave, 10 patients of them with RBBB and repolarize alterations. In all the cases we had people between 35 and 43 years old, 9 men and 6 women. This study shows that in Chagas disease is possible to differentiate two risk groups. A low risk death group that have normal ECG and clinical evaluation during the follow up, and a high risk group associate ECG with RBBB and primary alterations of repolarization and/or inactivation zones with not annual clinical evaluation.
authors.affiliation: Centro de Investigaciones Epidemiológicas, Academia Nacional de Medicina, Buenos Aires, Argentina. manzullo@megabit.com.ar
authors.forename: E C
authors.initials: EC
authors.lastname: Manzullo
authors.forename: R
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Chuit
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D002423:Cause of Death; D002598:Chagas Cardiomyopathy / Q000401:mortality*; D002648:Child; D002908:Chronic Disease; D016757:Death, Sudden, Cardiac / Q000209:etiology; D005260:Female; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006801:Humans; D008137:Longitudinal Studies; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D012307:Risk Factors