title: The age of onset of schizophrenia and the theory of anticipation.
abstract: The clinical phenomenon called anticipation is usually defined as a decrease in age at onset and/or an increase in disease severity in successive generations of afflicted families. The purpose of this study was to examine variables that might influence anticipation in schizophrenia. A total of 380 Austrian patients, born between 1935 and 1964, met criteria for schizophrenia with ICD-8 or ICD-9, SADS-L and DSM-III-R criteria. The inclusion criteria also required medical records of patients to contain information about the year of birth, season of birth, age at onset, accidents or meningoencephalitic diseases during childhood, first- and second-degree relatives afflicted with schizophrenia, sibship size, sib order, education of patient, age of parents, occupation of parents, loss of parents, and place of residence. A Cox multiple-regression analysis showed three factors as having a significant influence on the age of disease onset, including year of birth (which had the largest influence), family history (sporadic cases showed an onset 2 years later than familial cases) and residence (urban dwellers showed psychotic symptoms approximately 1 year sooner than rural ones). A Kaplan-Meier Survival Analysis showed that younger cohorts had onset approximately 10 years earlier in sporadic and familial cases. This cohort effect might be a major source of bias in studies of anticipation.
authors.affiliation: Department for Social Psychiatry, University Clinic Vienna, Währinger Gürtel 18-20, A-1090, Vienna, Austria.
authors.forename: T
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: Stompe
authors.forename: G
authors.initials: G
authors.lastname: Ortwein-Swoboda
authors.forename: R
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Strobl
authors.forename: A
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Friedmann
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D017668:Age of Onset; D020132:Anticipation, Genetic; D001317:Austria / Q000453:epidemiology; D015982:Bias; D015331:Cohort Studies; D005190:Family; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D011247:Pregnancy; D012189:Retrospective Studies; D012559:Schizophrenia / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000235:genetics*; D016019:Survival Analysis; D014505:Urban Population / Q000706:statistics & numerical data