Approaches to the space-time modelling of infectious disease behaviour.
A new approach to the space-time modelling of infectious diseases is considered. A modulated heterogeneous Poisson process with intensity defined as a function of a two-dimensional susceptibility field is proposed. The model is fitted to a measles epidemic using a proportional hazards approximation.
Lawson
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AB
Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Aberdeen, UK.
Leimich
P
P
D000293:Adolescent; D002648:Child; D002675:Child, Preschool; D016000:Cluster Analysis; D003141:Communicable Diseases / Q000453:epidemiology*; D004196:Disease Outbreaks / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D006801:Humans; D007223:Infant; D008457:Measles / Q000453:epidemiology; D008954:Models, Biological; D016012:Poisson Distribution; D016016:Proportional Hazards Models; D013997:Time Factors