title: The ability of preoperative serum CA-125 to predict optimal primary tumor cytoreduction in stage III epithelial ovarian carcinoma.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  The aim of this study was to determine the ability of preoperative serum CA-125 to predict optimal primary tumor cytoreduction in patients with Stage III epithelial ovarian carcinoma.
  
  
  METHODS
  We performed a retrospective chart review of 100 consecutive patients with Stage III ovarian carcinoma who had a serum CA-125 drawn prior to primary cytoreductive surgery. We used a receiver operating characteristic curve to determine the CA-125 level with the maximal prognostic power in predicting optimal versus suboptimal cytoreduction.
  
  
  RESULTS
  The median CA-125 level for the 100 patients was 819 U/ml (range 5.6-26,200 U/ml). Optimal cytoreduction (diameter of largest residual tumor nodule < or =1 cm) was obtained in 45 cases (45%). The probability of performing optimal cytoreduction decreased with increasing CA-125 levels. A preoperative CA-125 level of 500 U/ml was identified as the value with the most predictive power. Optimal cytoreduction was achieved in 33 of the 45 cases (73%) with a CA-125 less than 500 U/ml compared to only 12 of the 55 cases (22%) with a CA-125 greater than 500 U/ml. Using a threshold level of 500 U/ml, the preoperative serum CA-125 level was able to predict optimal versus suboptimal cytoreduction with a sensitivity of 78%, specificity of 73%, positive predictive value of 78%, and negative predictive value of 73%.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  The probability of performing optimal cytoreduction in patients with Stage III ovarian carcinoma and a preoperative CA-125 greater than 500 U/ml was approximately one in five. These patients may be candidates for initial laparoscopic evaluation to obtain a confirmatory tissue diagnosis and to determine resectability.
authors.affiliation: Gynecology Service, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY 10021, USA.
authors.forename: D S
authors.initials: DS
authors.lastname: Chi
authors.forename: E S
authors.initials: ES
authors.lastname: Venkatraman
authors.forename: V
authors.initials: V
authors.lastname: Masson
authors.forename: W J
authors.initials: WJ
authors.lastname: Hoskins
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D018394:CA-125 Antigen / Q000032:analysis*; D002277:Carcinoma / Q000473:pathology / Q000601:surgery*; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D010535:Laparoscopy; D008875:Middle Aged; D009367:Neoplasm Staging / Q000379:methods; D010051:Ovarian Neoplasms / Q000473:pathology / Q000601:surgery*; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D011379:Prognosis; D012189:Retrospective Studies
chemical_list: D018394:CA-125 Antigen