title: Factors affecting mortality and morbidity in patients with abdominal gunshot wounds.
abstract: Risk factors that may independently predict mortality and morbidity in patients with abdominal gunshot wounds have not been fully elucidated. We prospectively studied the effects of 12 potential risk factors on mortality and morbidity in 82 patients with abdominal gunshot wounds who required laparotomy. Univariate analysis of these factors revealed that shock on admission, presence of penetrating colon injury and number of intra-abdominal organs injured (NOI)>2 were associated with greater than threefold increased incidence of death (p<0.05). Penetrating abdominal trauma index (PATI) score>15 was associated with twentyfold increased incidence of death (P<0.0001). Multivariate analysis showed that only PATI (P=0.001), number of postoperative complications per patient (N(comp)) (P=0.023) and presence of shock on admission (P=0. 028) were independently significant in predicting mortality. PATI was the only risk factor that independently predicted the development of postoperative infectious complications and N(comp) (P<0.0001). The type of gun used was not a significant risk factor (P>0.05). The 15 (18.3%) non-survivors were significantly older than survivors (P=0.02), had longer operations (P=0.004) and their NOI, PATI and N(comp) were significantly higher (P<0.001). The uniformly prolonged injury to surgery time in all patients contributed to the high incidence of infectious complications (62.2%) and mortality. PATI score was the most important factor found to be independently associated with mortality and morbidity in our subset of patients with prolonged injury to surgery time and high rate of colon injury.
authors.affiliation: Department of Surgery, College of Medicine, University of Lagos and Lagos University Teaching Hospital, PMB 12003, Lagos, Nigeria. cmul@rcl.nig.com
authors.forename: A A
authors.initials: AA
authors.lastname: Adesanya
authors.lastname: da Rocha-Afodu JT
authors.forename: E E
authors.initials: EE
authors.lastname: Ekanem
authors.forename: I R
authors.initials: IR
authors.lastname: Afolabi
mesh_terms: D000007:Abdominal Injuries / Q000401:mortality*; D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D000368:Aged; D002648:Child; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D015999:Multivariate Analysis; D009549:Nigeria / Q000453:epidemiology; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012307:Risk Factors; D015599:Trauma Severity Indices; D014948:Wounds, Gunshot / Q000150:complications / Q000401:mortality* / Q000601:surgery