title: Population dynamics of plant-parasite interactions: thresholds for invasion.
abstract: Thresholds are derived for the invasion of plant populations by parasites. The theory is developed for a generic model that takes into account two features characteristic of plant-parasite interactions: a dual source of inoculum (infection from primary or externally introduced inoculum and secondary infection from contact between susceptible and infected host tissue) and a host response to infection load. Each of the threshold criteria is shown to be the sum of the individual components for primary and secondary infection. This indicates that if parasite invasion is not possible through primary or secondary infection alone, when the two modes of transmission are combined, the parasite may be able to invade. The invasion criteria demonstrate that there is a threshold population of susceptible hosts below which the parasite is unable to invade. If there are nonlinearities in the population dynamics (arising through either the transmission process or the host response), there are also threshold densities for the infected hosts and parasite populations below which invasion does not occur. The implications of the results for the control of plant disease are discussed.
authors.affiliation: Churchill College, Cambridge, CB3 0DS, United Kingdom. sg202@cus.cam.ac.uk
authors.forename: S
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Gubbins
authors.forename: C A
authors.initials: CA
authors.lastname: Gilligan
authors.forename: A
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Kleczkowski
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D006790:Host-Parasite Interactions; D008954:Models, Biological; D017711:Nonlinear Dynamics; D010935:Plant Diseases / Q000469:parasitology* / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D011156:Population Density; D011157:Population Dynamics