title: The long-term risks in the short-term benefits: perceptions of potentially addictive activities.
abstract: It is generally assumed that individuals who take risks with their health either underestimate the magnitude of those risks or seek some benefit. This study assessed whether risk taking might also result from underestimating the benefits. In Study 1, lower estimates of the pleasure of drug use and risk of addiction were significantly related to increased self-reported experimentation and problems with drug use. This relationship remained significant even after controlling for preexisting psychosocial factors. In Study 2, perceptions of these "risks-in-the-benefits" were shown (a) to be distinct from perceptions of immediate benefits and (b) to serve as a protective factor against future alcohol use. Results are discussed in terms of creating improved interventions.
authors.affiliation: Department of Medical Education, University of Illinois at Chicago, 60612-7309, USA. julieg@uic.edu
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Goldberg
authors.forename: B
authors.initials: B
authors.lastname: Fischhoff
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D016739:Behavior, Addictive; D003430:Cross-Sectional Studies; D005260:Female; D015438:Health Behavior; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D010465:Perception; D012309:Risk-Taking; D012924:Social Conditions