Testing for robustness in Monte Carlo studies.
Monte Carlo studies provide the information needed to help researchers select appropriate analytical procedures under design conditions in which the underlying assumptions of the procedures are not met. In Monte Carlo studies, the 2 errors that one could commit involve (a) concluding that a statistical procedure is robust when it is not or (b) concluding that it is not robust when it is. In previous attempts to apply standard statistical design principles to Monte Carlo studies, the less severe of these errors has been wrongly designated the Type I error. In this article, a method is presented for controlling the appropriate Type I error rate; the determination of the number of iterations required in a Monte Carlo study to achieve desired power is described; and a confidence interval for a test's true Type I error rate is derived. A robustness criterion is also proposed that is a compromise between W. G. Cochran's (1952) and J. V. Bradley's (1978) criteria.
Department of Educational Psychology, University of Wisconsin-Madison 53706, USA. rcserlin@facstaff.wisc.edu
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D006801:Humans; D015233:Models, Statistical; D009010:Monte Carlo Method; D011594:Psychometrics; D015203:Reproducibility of Results; D012107:Research Design