title: [Forecasting the number of patients with end-stage renal disease (Model of the system)].
abstract: The authors are dealing with the renal replacement therapies in Hungary. They are on the opinion that in view fo patient flow renal replacement therapies (such as various methods of dialysis and kidney transplantation) can be considered as one system. With analysing the number of patients in the past years they can establish that end-stage renal disease puts significant burden on the health insurance fund. According to their calculations the number of patients with end-stage renal disease will increase by 14-16% in the next few years if current trends continue. If we want to operate the system efficiently, we can reduce--up to a certain extent--the economic burden of dialysis by increasing the number of kidney transplantations.
authors.affiliation: Altalános Orvostudományi Kar, Transzplantációs és Sebészeti Klinika, Semmelweis Egyetem, Budapest.
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Járay
authors.forename: M
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Hídvégi
authors.forename: Z
authors.initials: Z
authors.lastname: Kaló
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Nagy
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D002648:Child; D002675:Child, Preschool; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D006814:Hungary / Q000453:epidemiology; D007676:Kidney Failure, Chronic / Q000191:economics / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000601:surgery / Q000628:therapy*; D016030:Kidney Transplantation / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D006435:Renal Dialysis / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D017582:Renal Replacement Therapy / Q000191:economics / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*