title: Long-term outcome and prognosis in oligoarticular-onset juvenile idiopathic arthritis.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  To describe the long-term outcome and determine predictors of severity among patients with oligoarticular-onset juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA).
  
  
  METHODS
  In a longitudinal study, 207 patients with oligoarticular-onset JIA who were referred between 1988 and 1998 were evaluated. At disease onset, selected clinical and laboratory data were collected as independent variables. A polyarticular disease course, joint erosion, uveitis, and remission were assessed as dependent variables. Longitudinal analyses were performed with the Kaplan-Meier method, and multivariate analysis with the Cox model.
  
  
  RESULTS
  After 6 years of followup, the probability of a polyarticular course of disease was 50%, joint erosion was 35%, uveitis was 30%, and remission was 23% in these patients. Joint erosion was strongly associated with a polyarticular course. A high erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) as well as involvement of more than 1 joint or involvement of an upper limb at disease onset were predictors of disease extension. A high ESR was also a strong predictor of a destructive course, and a family history of psoriasis was predictive of uveitis occurrence. No predictive factor for remission could be identified.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Oligoarticular-onset JIA is a severe disease with frequent complications. Factors predictive of severity in oligoarticular-onset JIA were identified. This could allow early identification of high-risk patient subgroups, warranting a more aggressive therapeutic approach.
authors.affiliation: Université Paris V, France.
authors.forename: S
authors.initials: S
authors.lastname: Guillaume
authors.forename: A M
authors.initials: AM
authors.lastname: Prieur
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Coste
authors.forename: C
authors.initials: C
authors.lastname: Job-Deslandre
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D017668:Age of Onset; D001171:Arthritis, Juvenile / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000628:therapy; D002648:Child; D002675:Child, Preschool; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D011379:Prognosis; D016016:Proportional Hazards Models; D012720:Severity of Illness Index; D013997:Time Factors; D016896:Treatment Outcome