Climate change and malaria: temperatures without fevers?
As the world gets warmer, the predictions about the spread of vector-based diseases such as malaria get gloomier. However, in their timely Perspective, Dye and Reiter explain the implications of a new climate model (Randolph and Rogers), which predicts that the distribution of malaria is unlikely to change dramatically in the next 50 years even if the world does get hotter.
Dye
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Department of Communicable Diseases Control, Prevention and Eradication, World Health Organization (WHO), 1211 Geneva 27, Switzerland. dyec@who.ch
Reiter
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D000818:Animals; D000852:Anopheles / Q000469:parasitology / Q000502:physiology; D002980:Climate; D005544:Forecasting; D017752:Greenhouse Effect; D006801:Humans; D006813:Humidity; D007303:Insect Vectors / Q000469:parasitology / Q000502:physiology; D016778:Malaria, Falciparum / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000635:transmission*; D008954:Models, Biological; D015233:Models, Statistical; D015999:Multivariate Analysis; D010963:Plasmodium falciparum / Q000502:physiology; D011891:Rain; D012044:Regression Analysis; D013696:Temperature