title: Assessing the needs of patients in pain: a matter of opinion?
abstract: METHODS
  A prospective cohort study including patients with nonspecific spinal pain was performed.
  
  
  OBJECTIVE
  To investigate whether the use of expert judgment in routine practice can provide a basis for reliable decision making concerning the need for intervention in patients with spinal pain and their ability to benefit from treatment.
  
  
  BACKGROUND
  A wide range of instruments and techniques are used to assess and treat patients with spinal pain. Many instruments are used without being clinimetrically tested.
  
  
  METHODS
  A questionnaire concerning the patients' need of treatment and their potential to assimilate it was sent to experts in the health care arena: physicians, physical therapists, social insurance officers. The experts included were those connected with patients participating in a larger outcome study. Two cohorts of patients (sample 1, n = 217; sample 2, n = 257) were followed for 6 and 12 months, during which time the patients' health and work status were mapped.
  
  
  RESULTS
  No acceptable agreement was found between any of the experts' ratings of patients' needs and potential for rehabilitation. Logistic regression showed that the experts' judgments were based almost solely on the age of the patient. The prediction analyses showed that the most consistent predictor of the patients' status at the 6-month follow-up assessment was the patients' own belief in the existence of effective treatments and their perceived ability for learning to cope with the condition.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Expert judgment as exercised in routine practice cannot be used as basis for reliable decision making concerning the need of the patient with spinal pain for intervention and the patient's ability to benefit from treatment.
authors.affiliation: Department for Personal Injury Prevention, Karolinska Institutet, Orebro University, Sweden. irene.jensen@knv.ki.se
authors.forename: I B
authors.initials: IB
authors.lastname: Jensen
authors.forename: L
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Bodin
authors.forename: T
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: Ljungqvist
authors.forename: K
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Gunnar Bergström
authors.forename: A
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Nygren
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D001416:Back Pain / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000534:rehabilitation* / Q000628:therapy; D015928:Cognitive Behavioral Therapy; D004185:Disability Evaluation; D005081:Exercise Therapy; D005260:Female; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006801:Humans; D018868:Insurance, Disability; D008297:Male; D008511:Medicine; D008875:Middle Aged; D020380:Needs Assessment / Q000592:standards* / Q000706:statistics & numerical data; D015588:Observer Variation; D017060:Patient Satisfaction; D026741:Physical Therapy Modalities; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D011446:Prospective Studies; D015203:Reproducibility of Results; D013038:Specialization; D013122:Spinal Diseases / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000534:rehabilitation* / Q000628:therapy; D016896:Treatment Outcome