title: Walking speed as a good predictor for the onset of functional dependence in a Japanese rural community population.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  to investigate and compare the predictive values of four physical performance measures for the onset of functional dependence in older Japanese people living at home.
  
  
  METHODS
  a population-based prospective cohort study.
  
  
  METHODS
  Nangai village, Akita Prefecture, Japan.
  
  
  METHODS
  out of the population aged 65 years and older living in Nangai (n = 940) in 1992, we measured hand grip-strength, one-leg standing, and usual and maximum walking speeds in 736 subjects who were independent in the five basic activities of daily living. Their functional status was assessed each year for the subsequent 6 years. The outcome event was the onset of functional dependence, defined as a new disability in one or more of the five basic activities of daily living, or death of a subject who had shown no disability at the previous follow-up.
  
  
  RESULTS
  even after controlling for age, sex and a number of chronic conditions, lower scores on each baseline performance measure showed increased risk for the onset of functional dependence. Maximum walking speed was most sensitive in predicting future dependence for those aged 65-74 years, while usual walking speed was most sensitive for people aged > or = 75 years.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  walking speed was the best physical performance measure for predicting the onset of functional dependence in a Japanese rural older population.
authors: Department of Community Health, Tokyo Metropolitan Institute of Gerontology, Japan. sshinka@tmig.or.jp
authors: S
authors: S
authors: Shinkai
authors: S
authors: S
authors: Watanabe
authors: S
authors: S
authors: Kumagai
authors: Y
authors: Y
authors: Fujiwara
authors: H
authors: H
authors: Amano
authors: H
authors: H
authors: Yoshida
authors: T
authors: T
authors: Ishizaki
authors: H
authors: H
authors: Yukawa
authors: T
authors: T
authors: Suzuki
authors: H
authors: H
authors: Shibata
mesh_terms: D000203:Activities of Daily Living; D000368:Aged; D006233:Persons with Disabilities / Q000145:classification; D005260:Female; D015577:Geriatric Assessment; D018737:Hand Strength; D006801:Humans; D007564:Japan; D008297:Male; D010808:Physical Examination / Q000379:methods* / Q000592:standards; D004856:Postural Balance; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D016016:Proportional Hazards Models; D011446:Prospective Studies; D012423:Rural Health; D013997:Time Factors; D016138:Walking