Departures from sensible play in computer blackjack.
Gambling has been viewed as irrational, and even though blackjack offers rational strategies (i.e., Basic [E. Thorp, 1966] and card counting), people exhibit departures from rationality (e.g., "Never Bust" strategies). To determine whether departures from rational behavior reflect ignorance or fatigue, university students were provided with on-line Basic advice while playing a simplified computer blackjack. Although the on-line advice initially affected the totals these players sat on, it was eventually discarded for higher risk strategies. Irrational play did not reflect ignorance or fatigue and was not necessarily conservative. Real fluctuations of odds in blackjack may lead to situations in which Basic is not perceived by players as effective. Because Basic is not a personalized strategy, it seems less likely to be maintained in the face of losses. Players were more optimistic that they might win when utilizing their personalized strategies.
Chau
A W
AW
Department of Psychology, The University of Hong Kong. awlchau@hkucc.hku.hk
Phillips
J G
JG
Von Baggo
K L
KL
D000328:Adult; D003201:Computers; D003657:Decision Making; D005715:Gambling; D006801:Humans; D011897:Random Allocation; D012309:Risk-Taking