title: Molecular prognostication of nasopharyngeal carcinoma by quantitative analysis of circulating Epstein-Barr virus DNA.
abstract: We investigated the prognostic implication of pretreatment plasma/serum EBV DNA concentration, as measured by real-time quantitative PCR, in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). In 91 prospectively recruited NPC patients, those with recurrence or metastasis within the first year after treatment had a higher median plasma EBV DNA concentration than those without events (41,756 copies/ml versus 5,807 copies/ml; P < 0.001, Mann-Whitney rank-sum test). In multivariate logistic regression analysis, plasma EBV DNA was an independent prognostic indicator for early clinical events [relative risk = 3.8 (95% confidence interval, 1.6-9.2 for each 10-fold increase in plasma EBV DNA concentration; P = 0.003)]. In a second cohort of 139 NPC patients followed-up for a median period of 2,027 days (interquartile range, 597-2,335 days), serum EBV DNA was found to be a significant variable associated with NPC-related death in multivariate Cox's regression analysis [relative risk = 1.6 (95% confidence interval, 1.1-2.1 for each 10-fold increase in serum EBV DNA concentration; P = 0.007)]. The quantitation of circulating EBV DNA may thus allow improved prognostication of NPC.
authors.affiliation: Department of Chemical Pathology, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Prince of Wales Hospital, Shatin, New Territories. loym@cuhk.edu.hk
authors.forename: Y M
authors.initials: YM
authors.lastname: Lo
authors.forename: A T
authors.initials: AT
authors.lastname: Chan
authors.forename: L Y
authors.initials: LY
authors.lastname: Chan
authors.forename: S F
authors.initials: SF
authors.lastname: Leung
authors.forename: C W
authors.initials: CW
authors.lastname: Lam
authors.forename: D P
authors.initials: DP
authors.lastname: Huang
authors.forename: P J
authors.initials: PJ
authors.lastname: Johnson
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D002277:Carcinoma / Q000097:blood / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000235:genetics* / Q000401:mortality; D004247:DNA / Q000032:analysis*; D005260:Female; D004854:Herpesvirus 4, Human / Q000235:genetics* / Q000378:metabolism; D006801:Humans; D016015:Logistic Models; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D015999:Multivariate Analysis; D009303:Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms / Q000097:blood / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000235:genetics* / Q000401:mortality; D016133:Polymerase Chain Reaction; D011379:Prognosis; D013997:Time Factors
chemical_list: D004247:DNA