A mathematical model for malaria transmission relating global warming and local socioeconomic conditions.
OBJECTIVE
Sensitivity analysis was applied to a mathematical model describing malaria transmission relating global warming and local socioeconomic conditions.


METHODS
A previous compartment model was proposed to describe the overall transmission of malaria. This model was built up on several parameters and the prevalence of malaria in a community was characterized by the values assigned to them. To assess the control efforts, the model parameters can vary on broad intervals.


RESULTS
By performing the sensitivity analysis on equilibrium points, which represent the level of malaria infection in a community, the different possible scenarios are obtained when the parameters are changed.


CONCLUSIONS
Depending on malaria risk, the efforts to control its transmission can be guided by a subset of parameters used in the mathematical model.
Yang
H M
HM
Departamento de Matemática Aplicada, Instituto de Matemática, Estatística e Computação Científica, Universidade Estadual de Campinas, Campinas, SP, Brasil. hyunyang@ime.unicamp.br
D000818:Animals; D017752:Greenhouse Effect; D006801:Humans; D008288:Malaria / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000635:transmission*; D008954:Models, Biological; D015995:Prevalence; D012680:Sensitivity and Specificity; D012959:Socioeconomic Factors