title: Spirometric predictors for the exclusion of severe hypoxemia in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
abstract: BACKGROUND
  Controversy has existed over the need for routine arterial blood gas (ABG) analysis in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Some authors recommend it in all patients with COPD, but others find it unnecessary if the forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV(1)) is 50% of predicted or greater.
  
  
  OBJECTIVE
  To clarify this controversy, and to investigate correlations between severe hypoxemia and multiple spirometric parameters in patients with COPD with FEV(1) 50% of predicted or greater.
  
  
  METHODS
  In 103 consecutive patients with COPD with FEV(1) 50% of predicted or greater, and without any other cardiopulmonary disorder, the incidence of severe hypoxemia (partial pressure of arterial oxygen less than 60 mmHg) was established by ABG analysis. Positive and negative predictive values (PPVs and NPVs, respectively) for severe hypoxemia for multiple spirometric parameters (FEV(1), FEV(1)/forced vital capacity [FVC], peak expiratory flow [PEF], maximal midexpiratory flow rate [FEF(25-75)]) were evaluated in a stepwise manner.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Twenty-two patients (21%) were found to be severely hypoxemic. In the severely hypoxemic group, the mean values for FEV(1), FEV(1)/FVC, PEF and FEF(25-75) were 59.0+/-8.19%, 53.6+/-11.3, 50.6+/-9.3 and 34.4+/-14.2% of predicted, respectively. The mean values for the same parameters in the other patients were 58.0+/-4.6%, 52.7+/-7.8, 51.5+/-7.5 and 39.1+/-7.7% of predicted, respectively. Comparing these parameters between the two groups, only the difference in FEF(25-75) was statistically significant (P<0.01). Valid PPVs and NPVs could not be established for any of the parameters at any level, except for the NPV for FEF(25-75) 50% of predicted or greater, which was 92%. This threshold value resulted in a false negative finding in less than 5% of the patients with hypoxemia.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  The results of the present study showed that one in five patients with COPD with FEV(1) 50% of predicted or greater was severely hypoxemic. In such patients, hypoxemia may be excluded, and ABG analysis may not be needed when the FEF(25-75) is also 50% of predicted or greater. The FEV(1), FEV(1)/FVC and PEF parameters failed to predict or exclude severe hypoxemia.
authors.affiliation: Department of Pneumology, Turgut Ozal Medical Center Research Hospital of Inönü University, Malatya, Turkey. hgunen@yahoo.com
authors.forename: H
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Gunen
authors.forename: F
authors.initials: F
authors.lastname: Kosar
mesh_terms: D000368:Aged; D005260:Female; D005541:Forced Expiratory Volume; D006801:Humans; D000860:Hypoxia / Q000097:blood* / Q000503:physiopathology; D008173:Lung Diseases, Obstructive / Q000097:blood* / Q000503:physiopathology; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D013147:Spirometry