title: Galactic cosmic ray flux simulation and prediction.
abstract: A dynamic galactic cosmic ray model is proposed to quantitatively describe the z=1-28 ions and electrons of E=10-10(5) MeV/nucleon and their particle flux variations around the Earth's orbit and beyond the Earth's magnetosphere due to diverse large-scale variations of solar activity factors.  The variations of large-scale heliospheric magnetic fields and the galactic cosmic ray flux variation time delays relative to solar activity variations are simulated. The lag characteristics and sunspot number predictions having been determined in detail, the model can be used to predict galactic cosmic ray flux levels.
authors.affiliation: Skobeltsyn Institute of Nuclear Physics, Moscow State University, Russia.
authors.forename: R A
authors.initials: RA
authors.lastname: Nymmik
authors.forename: M I
authors.initials: MI
authors.lastname: Panasyuk
authors.forename: A A
authors.initials: AA
authors.lastname: Suslov
mesh_terms: D003359:Cosmic Radiation; D004601:Elementary Particles; D005118:Extraterrestrial Environment; D008280:Magnetics; D008433:Mathematics; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D009686:Nuclear Physics; D019445:Solar Activity