title: ZD-1839 (AstraZeneca).
abstract: AstraZeneca is developing ZD-1839, an inhibitor of epidermal growth factor receptor 1 (EGFR1) tyrosine kinase, for potential treatment of cancers which overexpress EGF receptors, including non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and pancreatic cancer [196279], [270898]. Phase III studies had started by August 2000 [349551], [350295], [353050], [377656], with first results being expected at the 2001 meetings of the American Association for Cancer Research (AACR) and the American Society for Clinical Oncology (ASCO). The US FDA has issued ZD-1839 with Fast Track status [350295], [353050]. In September 2000, the company expected global NDA filing to take place at the end of 2001, with launch in the next four to five years [383469]. In January 1999, ABN Amro predicted sales of US $25 million in 2004 rising to $82 million in 2005 [316250]. In March 1999, Lehman Brothers predicted a 30% probability that the drug would reach worldwide markets and be launched onto the market in 2004 [336599]. In June 2000, Deutsche Bank predicted sales of US $8 million in 2002, rising to $100 million in 2003 [374500]. In September 2000, analysts Merrill Lynch predicted a launch in 2002 with sales estimated at UK 50 million  pounds, rising to 360 million pounds in 2004, while in December 2000, the analysts predicted a filing date in the fourth quarter of 2001 [383742], [396280]. Also in December 2000, Lehman Brothers predicted a filing date late in 2001, and a possible Fast Track review. They also estimated peak sales of US $1 billion [394606].
authors.affiliation: Norman Consulting, Burnham, Bucks, UK. peter.norman2@btinternet.com
authors.forename: P
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: Norman
mesh_terms: D000740:Anemia / Q000139:chemically induced; D000818:Animals; D000970:Antineoplastic Agents / Q000737:chemistry / Q000494:pharmacology* / Q000627:therapeutic use; D002289:Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung / Q000188:drug therapy; D017321:Clinical Trials, Phase I as Topic; D003967:Diarrhea / Q000139:chemically induced; D004195:Disease Models, Animal; D004353:Drug Evaluation, Preclinical; D004361:Drug Tolerance; D015507:Drugs, Investigational; D017850:Economics, Pharmaceutical; D004815:Epidermal Growth Factor / Q000037:antagonists & inhibitors*; D066246:ErbB Receptors / Q000037:antagonists & inhibitors; D000077156:Gefitinib; D006801:Humans; D008175:Lung Neoplasms / Q000188:drug therapy; D009325:Nausea / Q000139:chemically induced; D010190:Pancreatic Neoplasms / Q000188:drug therapy; D011799:Quinazolines / Q000009:adverse effects / Q000737:chemistry / Q000494:pharmacology* / Q000627:therapeutic use; D014407:Tumor Cells, Cultured
chemical_list: D000970:Antineoplastic Agents; D015507:Drugs, Investigational; D011799:Quinazolines; D004815:Epidermal Growth Factor; D066246:ErbB Receptors; D000077156:Gefitinib