title: The 5-year course of alcohol abuse among young adults.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  This study describes the course of alcohol abuse among a nationally representative sample of young adults over a 5-year time period for the purpose of examining the validity of the DSM-IV alcohol abuse category.
  
  
  METHODS
  DSM-IV diagnoses of alcohol abuse at baseline and follow-up were examined using logistic regression analyses.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Alcohol abuse and dependence were shown to have different courses. Very few abusers at Time 1 became dependent at Time 2, suggesting that abuse is not merely prodromal to dependence. Females, Blacks, and high school dropouts were less likely to receive an abuse diagnosis at baseline. Marital status, family history, earlier onset of drinking, and heavy drinking were also related to abuse at baseline. Alcohol abuse at baseline, in addition to gender, marital status, family history, early onset drinking, and heavy drinking, predicted abuse at follow-up. Exclusion of the hazardous criterion item "driving after drinking too much" from the abuse diagnosis yielded similar results.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  The DSM-IV alcohol abuse category was shown to have some diagnostic utility.
authors.affiliation: Division of Biometry and Epidemiology, National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, Bethesda, MD 20892-7003, USA. bg17j@nih.gov
authors.forename: B F
authors.initials: BF
authors.lastname: Grant
authors.forename: F S
authors.initials: FS
authors.lastname: Stinson
authors.forename: T
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: Harford
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D000437:Alcoholism / Q000145:classification / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000523:psychology; D005260:Female; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006801:Humans; D008137:Longitudinal Studies; D008297:Male; D012044:Regression Analysis; D015203:Reproducibility of Results; D012307:Risk Factors; D013997:Time Factors; D014481:United States / Q000453:epidemiology