title: Early prediction of poor outcome in patients with acute asthma in the emergency room.
abstract: Early identification of patients who need hospitalization or patients who should be discharged would be helpful for the management of acute asthma in the emergency room. The objective of the present study was to examine the clinical and pulmonary functional measures used during the first hour of assessment of acute asthma in the emergency room in order to predict the outcome. We evaluated 88 patients. The inclusion criteria were age between 12 and 55 years, forced expiratory volume in the first second below 50% of predicted value, and no history of chronic disease or pregnancy. After baseline evaluation, all patients were treated with 2.5 mg albuterol delivered by nebulization every 20 min in the first hour and 60 mg of intravenous methylprednisolone. Patients were reevaluated after 60 min of treatment. Sixty-five patients (73.9%) were successfully treated and discharged from the emergency room (good responders), and 23 (26.1%) were hospitalized or were treated and discharged with relapse within 10 days (poor responders). A predictive index was developed: peak expiratory flow rates after 1 h < or =0% of predicted values and accessory muscle use after 1 h. The index ranged from 0 to 2. An index of 1 or higher presented a sensitivity of 74.0, a specificity of 69.0, a positive predictive value of 46.0, and a negative predictive value of 88.0. It was possible to predict outcome in the first hour of management of acute asthma in the emergency room when the index score was 0 or 2.
authors.affiliation: Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Porto Alegre, RS, Brasil.
authors.forename: F
authors.initials: F
authors.lastname: Mallmann
authors.forename: A K
authors.initials: AK
authors.lastname: Fernandes
authors.forename: E M
authors.initials: EM
authors.lastname: Avila
authors.forename: F L
authors.initials: FL
authors.lastname: Nogueira
authors.forename: A M P
authors.initials: AM
authors.lastname: Steinhorst
authors.forename: D Z
authors.initials: DZ
authors.lastname: Saucedo
authors.forename: F J
authors.initials: FJ
authors.lastname: Machado
authors.forename: M G
authors.initials: MG
authors.lastname: Raymundi
authors.forename: P T R
authors.initials: PT
authors.lastname: Dalcin
authors.forename: S S
authors.initials: SS
authors.lastname: Menna Barreto
mesh_terms: D000208:Acute Disease; D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D000420:Albuterol / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D001249:Asthma / Q000188:drug therapy*; D001993:Bronchodilator Agents / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D002648:Child; D004636:Emergency Service, Hospital; D005260:Female; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008775:Methylprednisolone / Q000627:therapeutic use*; D008875:Middle Aged; D015999:Multivariate Analysis; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D012129:Respiratory Function Tests; D012680:Sensitivity and Specificity; D018709:Statistics, Nonparametric; D016896:Treatment Outcome
chemical_list: D001993:Bronchodilator Agents; D000420:Albuterol; D008775:Methylprednisolone