title: Assessment of guidelines for limiting exposures to emf using methods of probabilistic risk analysis.
abstract: Allowable limits of human exposure to radiofrequency fields commonly include a "factor of safety," typically between 10 to 50, which is somewhat arbitrary. The broad objective in our work is to assess radiofrequency exposure limits, hazard thresholds, and safety factors using methods of probabilistic risk analysis. We focus our analysis on the variables affecting peak radiofrequency specific energy absorption rate (SAR) values in the brain from digital mobile telephones operating at approximately 900 MHz. As SAR is defined as a product of positive random variables, it is not unreasonable to assume that SAR has a lognormal distribution. Our analysis of component SAR variables such as conductivity and permittivity of grey brain matter and radiated field strengths using experimental and numerical modeling data strongly supports our hypothesis that SAR values are distributed lognormally. It then follows that the probability that the SAR exceeds a certain threshold can be derived directly and is shown to be very low for handset SARs relative to presently allowable standard limits.
authors.affiliation: Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
authors.forename: Colin J
authors.initials: CJ
authors.lastname: Thompson
authors.forename: V
authors.initials: V
authors.lastname: Anderson
authors.forename: J T
authors.initials: JT
authors.lastname: Rowley
mesh_terms: D004574:Electromagnetic Fields / Q000009:adverse effects; D004781:Environmental Exposure / Q000517:prevention & control*; D017408:Guidelines as Topic; D006801:Humans; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D016011:Normal Distribution; D011336:Probability; D018570:Risk Assessment