title: A simulation of the transmission of HIV and AIDS in regional populations within the United Kingdom.
abstract: "The spread of HIV-1 in the United Kingdom is simulated by a model which integrates behavioural and epidemiological processes within a multi-regional population projection framework and represents the spatial heterogeneities in the distribution of HIV which have significant effects on transmission patterns.  Analyses determine the significance of different parameters in contributing to prediction uncertainty and highlight the importance of behavioural change and international population movements."
authors.forename: J S
authors.initials: JS
authors.lastname: Williams
authors.forename: P H
authors.initials: PH
authors.lastname: Rees
mesh_terms: D000163:Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome; D001519:Behavior; D003710:Demography; D019049:Developed Countries; D004194:Disease; D004641:Emigration and Immigration; D005060:Europe; D015658:HIV Infections; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D011153:Population; D011157:Population Dynamics; D006113:United Kingdom; D014777:Virus Diseases
keywords: Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome; Behavior; Demographic Factors; Developed Countries; Diseases; Europe; Hiv Infections; International Migration; Migration; Models, Theoretical; Northern Europe; Population; Population Dynamics; United Kingdom; Viral Diseases