title: Modeling and forecasting U.S. sex differentials in mortality.
abstract: "This paper examines differentials in observed and forecasted sex-specific life expectancies and longevity in the United States from 1900 to 2065.  Mortality models are developed and used to generate long-run forecasts, with confidence intervals that extend recent work by Lee and Carter (1992). These results are compared for forecast accuracy with univariate naive forecasts of life expectancies and those prepared by the Actuary of the Social Security Administration."
authors.forename: L R
authors.initials: LR
authors.lastname: Carter
authors.forename: R D
authors.initials: RD
authors.lastname: Lee
mesh_terms: D000569:Americas; D003710:Demography; D019049:Developed Countries; D005544:Forecasting; D008017:Life Expectancy; D008136:Longevity; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D009026:Mortality; D009656:North America; D011153:Population; D011154:Population Characteristics; D011157:Population Dynamics; D012106:Research; D012737:Sex Factors; D013223:Statistics as Topic; D014481:United States
keywords: Americas; Demographic Factors; Developed Countries; Differential Mortality; Estimation Technics; Length Of Life; Life Expectancy; Models, Theoretical; Mortality; North America; Northern America; Population; Population Characteristics; Population Dynamics; Population Forecast; Population Projection; Research Methodology; Sex Factors; United States