title: Forecasting U.S. population totals with the Box-Jenkins approach.
abstract: "The use of the Box-Jenkins approach for forecasting the population of the United States up to the year 2080 is discussed.  It is shown that the Box-Jenkins approach is equivalent to a simple trend model when making long-range predictions for the United States.  An investigation of forecasting accuracy indicates that the Box-Jenkins method produces population forecasts that are at least as reliable as those done with more traditional demographic methods."
authors.forename: P
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: Pflaumer
mesh_terms: D000569:Americas; D019049:Developed Countries; D005544:Forecasting; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D009656:North America; D012106:Research; D013223:Statistics as Topic; D014481:United States
keywords: Americas; Developed Countries; Estimation Technics; Mathematical Model; Models, Theoretical; North America; Northern America; Population Forecast; Population Projection; Research Methodology; United States