Parameterized multistate population dynamics and projections.
"This article reports progress on the development of a population projection process that emphasizes model selection over demographic accounting.  Transparent multiregional/multistate population projections that rely on parameterized model schedules are illustrated [using data primarily from a number of developed countries, particularly Sweden], together with simple techniques that extrapolate the recent trends exhibited by the parameters of such schedules."  The author notes that "the parameterized schedules condense the amount of demographic information, expressing it in a language and variables that are more readily understood by the users of the projections.  In addition, they permit a concise specification of the expected temporal patterns of variation among these variables, and they allow a disaggregated focus on demographic change that otherwise would not be feasible."
Rogers
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D003710:Demography; D019049:Developed Countries; D005060:Europe; D005544:Forecasting; D008722:Methods; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D011153:Population; D011157:Population Dynamics; D012106:Research; D012537:Scandinavian and Nordic Countries; D013223:Statistics as Topic; D013548:Sweden; D013997:Time Factors
Demographic Factors; Developed Countries; Estimation Technics; Europe; Methodological Studies; Models, Theoretical; Multiregional Analysis; Northern Europe; Population; Population Dynamics; Population Projection; Research Methodology; Scandinavia; Sweden; Time Factors