title: Long-term demographic interactions in precensus England.
abstract: "Modern time series methods are applied to the analysis of annual demographic data for England, 1541-1800.  Evidence is found of non-stationarity in the series and of co-integration among the series.  Building on economic models of historical demography, optimal inferential procedures are implemented to estimate the structural parameters of long-term equilibria among the variables.  Evidence is found for a small, but significant, Malthusian 'preventive check' as well as interactions between fertility, mortality and nuptiality that are consistent with the predictions often made in demographic studies.  Tentative experiments to detect the influence of environmental factors fail to reveal any significant impact on the estimates obtained."
authors.forename: R E
authors.initials: RE
authors.lastname: Bailey
authors.forename: M J
authors.initials: MJ
authors.lastname: Chambers
mesh_terms: D003710:Demography; D019049:Developed Countries; D004739:England; D005060:Europe; D008722:Methods; D011153:Population; D011157:Population Dynamics; D012942:Social Sciences; D006113:United Kingdom
keywords: Demographic Factors; Demography; Developed Countries; England; Europe; Historical Demography; Methodological Studies; Northern Europe; Population; Population Dynamics; Social Sciences; United Kingdom