What is the relevance of obtaining multiple blood samples for culture? A comprehensive model to optimize the strategy for diagnosing bacteremia.
Through a heuristic and probabilistic approach, we evaluated blood culture operating characteristics (sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values) as a function of several pretest parameters, together with their variability. On the basis of a meta-analysis of quantitative data from the literature, a model was developed and an estimation of the operating characteristics through numerical simulations (Monte Carlo method) was performed. The model evaluates the influence of ordering and drawing parameters on the ability of blood culture to distinguish bacteremic from nonbacteremic patients, regardless of the causative species. By considering the total blood volume to be cultured (six 5-10-mL bottles), results were found to confirm the current guidelines. On the basis of this hypothesis, the results, together with an analysis of the literature, failed to show any benefit of a strategy that involves obtaining multiple samples. The best strategy when performing blood culture is to obtain blood for 6 bottles (for a total volume of 35-42 mL), preferably at the same time.
Lamy
Brigitte
B
Laboratoire de Bacteriologie, Centre Hospitalier Lyon-Sud, Hospices Civils de Lyon, France. lamy@biomserv.univ-lyon1.fr
Roy
Pascal
P
Carret
Gérard
G
Flandrois
Jean-Pierre
JP
Delignette-Muller
Marie Laure
ML
D016470:Bacteremia / Q000097:blood / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000382:microbiology; D015169:Colony Count, Microbial; D003198:Computer Simulation; D006801:Humans; D015201:Meta-Analysis as Topic; D008954:Models, Biological; D009010:Monte Carlo Method; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests