title: A survey of Census Bureau population projection methods.
abstract: "Population projections methods of the U.S. Census Bureau draw upon several different traditions of forecasting:  demographic accounting, judgmental, time series, deterministic, and explanatory.  This paper reviews each of the forecasting traditions in population projections, describes the U.S. Census Bureau's current methods for national and state population projections, and proposes new hybrid approaches such as demographic-time series methods for national fertility projections and economic-demographic methods for state migration projections.  Throughout the article, possible parallels with forecasting in other disciplines are noted."
authors.forename: J F
authors.initials: JF
authors.lastname: Long
authors.forename: D B
authors.initials: DB
authors.lastname: Mcmillen
mesh_terms: D000569:Americas; D003710:Demography; D019049:Developed Countries; D003906:Developing Countries; D004641:Emigration and Immigration; D005298:Fertility; D005544:Forecasting; D005843:Geography; D008722:Methods; D009656:North America; D011153:Population; D011157:Population Dynamics; D012106:Research; D013223:Statistics as Topic; D014481:United States
keywords: Administrative Districts; Americas; Comparative Studies; Demographic Factors; Developed Countries; Developing Countries; Estimation Technics; Fertility; Interdisciplinary Studies; Methodological Studies; Migration; North America; Northern America; Population; Population Dynamics; Population Forecast; Population Projection; Research Methodology; United States