title: A multi-dimensional model for projecting family households--with an illustrative numerical application.
abstract: "This paper develops a multi-dimensional model for projecting households and population. The model is constructed to ensure consistency between the demographic events occurring to males and females as well as to parents and children. The model permits projection of characteristics of households, their members, and population structure, using data that are usually available from conventional sources. Unlike the traditional headship-rate method, our model can closely link the projected households with demographic rates.  The model includes both nuclear and three-generation households, so that it can be used for countries where nuclear households are dominant and for countries where nuclear and three-generation households are both important. The illustrative application to China, although brief, provides some policy-relevant information about future trends of Chinese household size, structure, and the age and sex distribution of the population, with a focus on the elderly."
authors.forename: Y
authors.initials: Y
authors.lastname: Zeng
authors.forename: J W
authors.initials: JW
authors.lastname: Vaupel
authors.forename: Z
authors.initials: Z
authors.lastname: Wang
mesh_terms: D017677:Age Distribution; D000367:Age Factors; D001208:Asia; D002681:China; D003710:Demography; D003906:Developing Countries; D005191:Family Characteristics; D005202:Asia, Eastern; D005544:Forecasting; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D011153:Population; D011154:Population Characteristics; D011157:Population Dynamics; D012106:Research; D017678:Sex Distribution; D012737:Sex Factors; D013223:Statistics as Topic
keywords: Age Distribution; Age Factors; Asia; China; Demographic Factors; Developing Countries; Eastern Asia; Estimation Technics; Family And Household; Households; Models, Theoretical; Population; Population Characteristics; Population Dynamics; Population Projection; Research Methodology; Sex Distribution; Sex Factors