[Predictability of international migration].
Population forecasts concerning international migration for the Netherlands are evaluated.  "In the Dutch Population Forecasts from 1975 onwards, the uncertainty of the [international] migration projections has been underestimated.  The interval between the low and high variants covered only a quarter of the subsequent observations.  The...model...[utilized is] appropriate for determining the width of the forecast interval.  Average migration in a number of years can be forecast considerably more accurately than migration in separate years." (SUMMARY IN ENG)
De Beer
J
J
D003710:Demography; D019049:Developed Countries; D004641:Emigration and Immigration; D005060:Europe; D005544:Forecasting; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D009426:Netherlands; D011153:Population; D011157:Population Dynamics; D012106:Research; D013223:Statistics as Topic; D013997:Time Factors
Demographic Factors; Developed Countries; Estimation Technics; Europe; International Migration; Migration; Models, Theoretical; Netherlands; Population; Population Dynamics; Population Forecast; Research Methodology; Time Factors; Western Europe