[Accuracy of forecasts of annual numbers based on monthly numbers].
"Since 1985 monthly forecasts have been made of yearly numbers of births, deaths, immigration, emigration and marriages [in the Netherlands] on the basis of monthly figures.  The forecasts are equal to the arithmetic average of an ARIMA projection and a naive forecast.... This article compares the forecasts for the years 1985-1989 with forecasts obtained from a simple alternative method." (SUMMARY IN ENG)
De Beer
J
J
D019049:Developed Countries; D005060:Europe; D005544:Forecasting; D008393:Marriage; D009426:Netherlands; D012106:Research; D012107:Research Design; D013223:Statistics as Topic
Comparative Studies; Developed Countries; Error Sources; Estimation Technics; Europe; Marriage; Measurement; Netherlands; Nuptiality; Population Forecast; Population Projection; Research Methodology; Studies; Western Europe