title: Predicting the "vagaries" of mortality:  the causes of death in Bamako from 1974 to 1985.
abstract: "The overall downward trend in African mortality is interrupted by recurring epidemics.  This article investigates the nature of those temporary fluctuations, using cause-of-death data drawn from deaths registered in Bamako [Mali] over an 11-year period.  The use of time-series analysis produces findings that can be used in three ways:  first, to provide a short-term forecasting tool for public health officials; secondly, to clarify the relationship between the cause of death and exogenous mortality factors, particularly climatic and economic; thirdly, to assist in the analysis of synergies between disease and malnutrition, and intra-household transmission as an aggravating factor contributing to the seriousness of a disease."
authors.forename: N
authors.initials: N
authors.lastname: Bonneuil
authors.forename: P
authors.initials: P
authors.lastname: Fargues
mesh_terms: D000349:Africa; D017954:Africa South of the Sahara; D000352:Africa, Northern; D000354:Africa, Western; D002423:Cause of Death; D003710:Demography; D003906:Developing Countries; D004194:Disease; D004196:Disease Outbreaks; D004467:Economics; D004777:Environment; D006262:Health; D008302:Mali; D009017:Morbidity; D009026:Mortality; D009748:Nutrition Disorders; D011153:Population; D011157:Population Dynamics; D011634:Public Health; D012959:Socioeconomic Factors; D013997:Time Factors
keywords: Africa; Africa South Of The Sahara; Causes Of Death; Demographic Factors; Developing Countries; Diseases; Economic Factors; Environment; Epidemics; French Speaking Africa; Health; Mali; Malnutrition; Morbidity; Mortality--changes; Nutrition Disorders; Population; Population Dynamics; Public Health; Socioeconomic Factors; Time Factors; Western Africa