title: An econometric test of structural change in the demographic transition.
abstract: "The structural change model of the demographic transition developed by Easterlin and others is explored empirically by applying the Brown, Durbin and Evans test of structural change to annual data from the transitions of Sweden, Norway, England and Wales, and Finland.  The evidence strongly supports the structural change model over traditional models (based on gradual changes in explanatory variables), indicating a supply response of fertility to declining illness and death during the early stages of transition, and a demand response to the death of children during the latter stages, when families are likely to have achieved desired size."
authors.forename: S E
authors.initials: SE
authors.lastname: Haynes
authors.forename: L
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Phillips
authors.forename: H L
authors.initials: HL
authors.lastname: Votey
mesh_terms: D003710:Demography; D019049:Developed Countries; D004467:Economics; D004739:England; D005060:Europe; D005191:Family Characteristics; D005298:Fertility; D005387:Finland; D007226:Infant Mortality; D018803:Models, Economic; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D009026:Mortality; D009664:Norway; D011153:Population; D011157:Population Dynamics; D012106:Research; D012537:Scandinavian and Nordic Countries; D012959:Socioeconomic Factors; D013548:Sweden; D006113:United Kingdom; D014852:Wales
keywords: Child Mortality; Demographic Factors; Demographic Transition; Developed Countries; Easterlin Hypothesis; Economic Factors; Economic Model; England; Europe; Family And Household; Family Characteristics; Family Size; Family Size, Desired; Fertility--changes; Finland; Infant Mortality; Microeconomic Factors; Models, Theoretical; Mortality--changes; Northern Europe; Norway; Population; Population Dynamics; Research Methodology; Scandinavia; Socioeconomic Factors; Sweden; Theoretical Studies; United Kingdom; Wales