title: Economic-demographic models for forecasting interregional migration.
abstract: "A class of spatial economic-demographic forecasting models is proposed.  The models combine elements of traditional Markov and economic gravity models.  A base-period probability structure is modified by the changing relative distribution of economic opportunity.  Estimation issues are addressed, and an empirical application to US interstate migration during the late 1970s is described.  It is contended that the framework represents a merger of past demographic and economic modeling traditions in a spatial interaction framework."
mesh_terms: D000569:Americas; D003710:Demography; D019049:Developed Countries; D003906:Developing Countries; D004467:Economics; D004641:Emigration and Immigration; D005544:Forecasting; D005843:Geography; D008390:Markov Chains; D018803:Models, Economic; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D009656:North America; D011153:Population; D011157:Population Dynamics; D012106:Research; D012959:Socioeconomic Factors; D013223:Statistics as Topic; D014481:United States
keywords: Americas; Demographic Factors; Developed Countries; Developing Countries; Economic Factors; Economic Model; Estimation Technics; Geographic Factors; Markov Chain; Mathematical Model; Migration; Migration, Internal; Models, Theoretical; North America; Northern America; Population; Population Dynamics; Population Forecast; Research Methodology; Socioeconomic Factors; United States