title: Forecasting metropolitan and urban subregional population changes and their resource use implications:  methodology and example--Sydney, Australia.
abstract: This paper is concerned with the methodology of forecasting population change and structures of large cities and their major subregions.  "The model isolates quantifiable base populations and their growth, and international, inter-state and city-hinterland migration streams and the national increase attributable to each, and intra-urban mobility, as components of growth and change."  The model is applied to data for Sydney, Australia, and its applicability to other urban systems is considered.
mesh_terms: D001315:Australia; D003710:Demography; D019049:Developed Countries; D003906:Developing Countries; D004641:Emigration and Immigration; D005544:Forecasting; D005843:Geography; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D010139:Pacific Islands; D011153:Population; D011154:Population Characteristics; D011157:Population Dynamics; D011158:Population Growth; D012106:Research; D013223:Statistics as Topic; D014505:Urban Population
keywords: Australia; Data Analysis; Demographic Analysis; Demographic Factors; Developed Countries; Developing Countries; Estimation Technics; Geographic Factors; International Migration; Migration; Migration, Internal; Models, Theoretical; Natural Increase; Oceania; Population; Population Characteristics; Population Forecast; Population Projection; Research Methodology; Residential Mobility; Spatial Distribution; Urban Population--changes; Urban Spatial Distribution--changes