title: Forecasting interstate migration with limited data:  a demographic-economic approach.
abstract: "The limitations of available migration data preclude a time-series approach of modeling interstate migration [in the United States].  The method presented here combines aspects of the demographic and economic approaches to forecasting migration in a manner compatible with existing data.  Migration rates are modeled to change in response to changes in economic conditions.  When applied to resently constructed data on migration based on income tax returns and then compared to standard demographic projections, the demographic-economic approach has a 20% lower total error in forecasting net migration by state for cohorts of labor-force age."
mesh_terms: D000569:Americas; D003710:Demography; D019049:Developed Countries; D003906:Developing Countries; D004467:Economics; D004641:Emigration and Immigration; D004651:Employment; D005544:Forecasting; D006280:Health Workforce; D008722:Methods; D018803:Models, Economic; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D009656:North America; D011153:Population; D011157:Population Dynamics; D012106:Research; D012959:Socioeconomic Factors; D013223:Statistics as Topic; D013997:Time Factors; D014481:United States
keywords: Americas; Demographic Factors; Developed Countries; Developing Countries; Economic Conditions; Economic Factors; Economic Model; Estimation Technics; Human Resources; Labor Force; Macroeconomic Factors; Methodological Studies; Migration; Migration, Internal; Models, Theoretical; North America; Northern America; Population; Population Dynamics; Population Forecast; Research Methodology; Socioeconomic Factors; Time Factors; United States