title: Estimating the probability of emigration from individual-specific data:  the case of Italy in the early twentieth century.
abstract: "This article develops a method for estimating the probability of emigration conditional on the observed characteristics of individuals.  In addition, it is shown how to calculate the mean, standard error, and confidence intervals of the conditional probability of emigration given a random sample of emigrants.  The technique is illustrated by providing statistically consistent estimates of the probability an Italian would emigrate to the United States in 1901 and 1911, conditional on personal attributes."
mesh_terms: D000569:Americas; D003710:Demography; D019049:Developed Countries; D003906:Developing Countries; D004641:Emigration and Immigration; D005060:Europe; D007558:Italy; D008722:Methods; D009656:North America; D011153:Population; D011157:Population Dynamics; D011336:Probability; D012106:Research; D013223:Statistics as Topic; D014481:United States
keywords: Americas; Demographic Factors; Developed Countries; Developing Countries; Estimation Technics; Europe; Historical Survey; International Migration; Italy; Mediterranean Countries; Methodological Studies; Migration; North America; Northern America; Population; Population Dynamics; Probability; Research Methodology; Southern Europe; Statistical Studies; Studies; United States