title: International migration scenarios for the European Economic Area.
abstract: "This article describes the assumptions on international migration underlying the new population scenarios for countries of the European Economic Area. Three scenarios will be presented. The Baseline scenario describes a situation in which observed developments are continued. In the High scenario net migration is assumed to increase in the short run. In the long run this will provoke a political reaction, resulting in a significant reduction in the influx of migrants. In the Low scenario it is assumed that current net migration figures of the EEA will be halved in the next decade."
mesh_terms: D003710:Demography; D004641:Emigration and Immigration; D005062:European Union; D005544:Forecasting; D009938:Organizations; D011153:Population; D011157:Population Dynamics; D011640:Public Policy; D012106:Research; D013223:Statistics as Topic
keywords: Demographic Factors; Estimation Technics; European Community; International Migration; Migration; Migration Policy; Organizations; Policy; Population; Population Dynamics; Population Policy; Population Projection; Research Methodology; Social Policy