title: The inflationary effects of environmental fluctuations in source-sink systems.
abstract: Ecological communities are open to the immigration of individuals and are variable through time. In open habitats immigration may permit populations of a species to persist locally even though local biotic and abiotic processes tend to exclude such "sink" populations. A general model for a sink population reveals that autocorrelated environmental variation can dramatically inflate local abundance and that such populations display a characteristic "outbreak" pattern. An experimental protist microcosm exhibits these predicted effects. Because the many ecological and environmental processes that set the rate of exclusion are typically autocorrelated, these theoretical and empirical results have broad implications for our understanding of community structure and highlight a previously unsuspected potential effect of anthropogenic climate change.
authors.affiliation: Fonctionnement et Evolution des Systèmes Ecologiques, Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Ecole Normale Supérieure, 46 Rue d'Ulm, F-75230 Paris Cedex 05, France.
authors.forename: Andrew
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Gonzalez
authors.forename: Robert D
authors.initials: RD
authors.lastname: Holt
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D017753:Ecosystem; D004777:Environment; D016805:Paramecium tetraurelia / Q000502:physiology*; D015203:Reproducibility of Results