title: Commentary on 'health care in the information society. A prognosis for the year 2013'.
abstract: The paper, entitled 'Health care in the information society-a prognosis for the year 2013' is in this commentary compared with previous relevant documents. In the paper quantitative prognoses are presented for each of 30 theses. Some developments such as the influence of genomic medicine on health care were not covered by the theses. ICT measures as suggested in the paper are quite acceptable but the paper does not mention side effects of ICT on health care and is therefore a bit unbalanced. As a reference, the Japanese grand design for information-oriented health care is also introduced.
authors.affiliation: Department of Medical Information Science, Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka University, 2-2, Yamada-oka, Suita 565-0871, Japan.
authors.forename: Hiroshi
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Takeda
authors.forename: Hiroyoshi
authors.initials: H
authors.lastname: Endoh
mesh_terms: D000368:Aged; D019992:Databases as Topic; D020000:Decision Support Systems, Clinical; D003695:Delivery of Health Care / Q000592:standards / Q000639:trends*; D019317:Evidence-Based Medicine; D005544:Forecasting; D006279:Health Maintenance Organizations; D006801:Humans; D007256:Information Systems; D007564:Japan; D008329:Managed Care Programs; D008490:Medical Informatics; D016347:Medical Records Systems, Computerized; D018802:Patient-Centered Care; D011379:Prognosis; D011787:Quality of Health Care; D012106:Research; D013685:Telecommunications; D017216:Telemedicine