title: Satellite imagery characterizes local animal reservoir populations of Sin Nombre virus in the southwestern United States.
abstract: The relationship between the risk of hantaviral pulmonary syndrome (HPS), as estimated from satellite imagery, and local rodent populations was examined. HPS risk, predicted before rodent sampling, was highly associated with the abundance of Peromyscus maniculatus, the reservoir of Sin Nombre virus (SNV). P. maniculatus were common in high-risk sites, and populations in high-risk areas were skewed toward adult males, the subclass most frequently infected with SNV. In the year after an El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), captures of P. maniculatus increased only in high-risk areas. During 1998, few sites had infected mice, but by 1999, 1820 of the high-risk sites contained infected mice and the crude prevalence was 30.8%. Only 118 of the low-risk sites contained infected rodents, and the prevalence of infection was lower (8.3%). Satellite imagery identified environmental features associated with SNV transmission within its reservoir population, but at least 2 years of high-risk conditions were needed for SNV to reach high prevalence. Areas with persistently high-risk environmental conditions may serve as refugia for the survival of SNV in local mouse populations.
authors.affiliation: W. Harry Feinstone Department of Molecular Microbiology and Immunology and Department of Environmental Health Sciences, The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA. ggurrigl@jhsph.edu
authors.forename: Gregory E
authors.initials: GE
authors.lastname: Glass
authors.forename: Terry L
authors.initials: TL
authors.lastname: Yates
authors.forename: Joshua B
authors.initials: JB
authors.lastname: Fine
authors.forename: Timothy M
authors.initials: TM
authors.lastname: Shields
authors.forename: John B
authors.initials: JB
authors.lastname: Kendall
authors.forename: Andrew G
authors.initials: AG
authors.lastname: Hope
authors.forename: Cheryl A
authors.initials: CA
authors.lastname: Parmenter
authors.forename: C J
authors.initials: CJ
authors.lastname: Peters
authors.forename: Thomas G
authors.initials: TG
authors.lastname: Ksiazek
authors.forename: Chung-Sheng
authors.initials: CS
authors.lastname: Li
authors.forename: Jonathan A
authors.initials: JA
authors.lastname: Patz
authors.forename: James N
authors.initials: JN
authors.lastname: Mills
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D004197:Disease Reservoirs; D004463:Ecology; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D010542:Peromyscus / Q000821:virology*; D029261:Sin Nombre virus / Q000302:isolation & purification*; D015206:Southwestern United States