title: Predictors of mortality in eating disorders.
abstract: BACKGROUND
  Anorexia nervosa, but not bulimia nervosa, has one of the highest mortality rates among psychiatric disorders. However, potential predictors of mortality, such as comorbid psychiatric illnesses, remain unclear. We sought to determine mortality ratios and predictors of fatal outcome in women diagnosed as having anorexia or bulimia nervosa.
  
  
  METHODS
  Women (N = 246) diagnosed as having either DSM-IV anorexia nervosa (n = 136) or bulimia nervosa (n = 110) between January 1, 1987, and December 31, 1991, participated in a prospective longitudinal study. Vital status was determined by ongoing contact and a National Death Index search as of December 1998 (overall ascertainment, 99.8%) and telephone contact as of October 2000 (ascertainment, 95.0%).
  
  
  RESULTS
  Eleven women died. Standardized mortality ratios were elevated for all causes of mortality (11.6; 95% confidence interval, 5.5-21.3) and suicide (56.9; 95% confidence interval, 15.3-145.7) in anorexia nervosa but not for death (1.3; 95% confidence interval, 0.0-7.2) in bulimia nervosa. Predictors of mortality in anorexia nervosa included severity of alcohol use disorder during follow-up (P<.001). Hospitalization for an affective disorder before baseline assessment seemed to protect women from a fatal outcome (P<.001).
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Physicians treating patients with anorexia nervosa should carefully assess patterns of alcohol use during the course of care because one third of women who had alcoholism and died had no history of alcohol use disorder at intake.
authors.affiliation: Department of Psychology, Harvard University, 1320 William James Hall, 33 Kirkland St, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA. pkeel@wjh.harvard.edu
authors.forename: Pamela K
authors.initials: PK
authors.lastname: Keel
authors.forename: David J
authors.initials: DJ
authors.lastname: Dorer
authors.forename: Kamryn T
authors.initials: KT
authors.lastname: Eddy
authors.forename: Debra
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Franko
authors.forename: Dana L
authors.initials: DL
authors.lastname: Charatan
authors.forename: David B
authors.initials: DB
authors.lastname: Herzog
mesh_terms: D000437:Alcoholism / Q000175:diagnosis / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000401:mortality; D000856:Anorexia Nervosa / Q000175:diagnosis / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000401:mortality; D002032:Bulimia / Q000175:diagnosis / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000401:mortality; D002423:Cause of Death; D015897:Comorbidity; D017831:Diagnosis, Dual (Psychiatry); D001068:Feeding and Eating Disorders / Q000175:diagnosis / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000401:mortality*; D005260:Female; D005500:Follow-Up Studies; D006801:Humans; D015993:Life Tables; D008137:Longitudinal Studies; D011336:Probability; D011446:Prospective Studies