title: Prognostic factors in immunoglobulin-A nephropathy.
abstract: OBJECTIVE
  To study the course, identify prognostic factors and a model predictive for development of end stage renal failure (ESRF) in adults with immunoglobulin-A nephropathy (IgA-N).
  
  
  METHODS
  Retrospective cohort.
  
  
  METHODS
  Madras Medical College and Government General Hospital, Chennai, Tamil Nadu.
  
  
  METHODS
  Ninety eight adult patients with diagnosis of primary IgA nephropathy.
  
  
  RESULTS
  Out of 98 patient 64 (65.3%) were men. Mean age of presentation was 25.7 years. The predominant renal lesions included nephrotic syndrome in 25 (25.5%), rapidly progressive renal failure and accelerated malignant hypertension in 21 (21.4%) each, chronic renal failure in 13 (13.3%), hypertension in nine (9.2%) haematuria in five (5.1%) and acute renal failure in four (4.1%). Sixty (61%) had renal failure at diagnosis. Age > 25 years, glomerular histology of Hass subclass V and interstitial fibrosis were significant factors. Forty (48.2%) (IR) patients developed ESRF during follow up. Serum creatinine > 5 mg/dl (hazard ratio: 5.37, 95% confidence interval CI 2.49-11.58) Hass-V (3.74, 1.60-8.76), crescents (4.08, 1.52-10.94) and IF (6.15, 2.0-19.0) were associated with disease progression in the multivariate analysis. Five years renal survival (CI) was 38.5% (24.6%-52.3%). Among those with no risk factor, 95% had not reached ESRF by 42 months. The median ESRF-free survival with one, two and three or four risk factors was 65, 16 and four months, respectively.
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Serum creatinine > 5 mg/dl, crescents: Hass-V histology and interstitial fibrosis predict the progression to ESRF. Renal biopsies should include a detailed assessment of the tubulointerstitium.
authors.affiliation: Department of Nephrology, Government General Hospital, Chennai, Tamil Nadu.
authors.forename: T
authors.initials: T
authors.lastname: Muthukumar
authors.forename: M E
authors.initials: ME
authors.lastname: Fernando
authors.forename: M
authors.initials: M
authors.lastname: Jayakumar
mesh_terms: D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D018450:Disease Progression; D005260:Female; D005922:Glomerulonephritis, IGA / Q000150:complications / Q000175:diagnosis / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000517:prevention & control; D006801:Humans; D007194:India / Q000453:epidemiology; D007676:Kidney Failure, Chronic / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000209:etiology*; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D015999:Multivariate Analysis; D011379:Prognosis; D011507:Proteinuria / Q000209:etiology; D012189:Retrospective Studies; D012307:Risk Factors; D016019:Survival Analysis