[Geographic distribution of BSE in Switzerland].
Visual evaluation of the occurrence of BAB (born after ban) cases pointed towards spatial clustering. Therefore a statistical analysis of spatial case clustering was conducted using GIS technology. In the initial analysis, all 376 cases (135 BAB, 241 BBB/born before ban) diagnosed through mid of March 2001 were investigated using the spatial scan statistic. Two clusters of BBB cases were identified in the western part of Switzerland, and two clusters of BAB cases in the eastern part. Epidemiological investigations performed within the BAB clusters showed an increased pig density in these cluster regions. Pig density is considered an indicator for the probability of contamination of cattle feed with feed containing meat-and-bone meal that is intended for other species (cross-contamination). In an updated cluster analysis including all cases reported until end of June 2002 (data set B), clusters were identified in the same regions as previously. It was shown that the BAB clusters occurred in different time periods. The small scale differences in cluster size and location are discussed, with an emphasis on the implications for following epidemiological investigations.
Schwermer
H
H
Bundesamt für Veterinärwesen, Bern-Liebefeld. heinzpeter.schwermer@bvet.admin.ch
Rüfenacht
J
J
Doherr
M G
MG
Heim
D
D
D000821:Animal Feed / Q000032:analysis; D000818:Animals; D002417:Cattle; D016000:Cluster Analysis; D004196:Disease Outbreaks / Q000706:statistics & numerical data / Q000662:veterinary*; D016643:Encephalopathy, Bovine Spongiform / Q000453:epidemiology*; D005506:Food Contamination; D040362:Geographic Information Systems; D015233:Models, Statistical; D011156:Population Density; D012307:Risk Factors; D013552:Swine; D013557:Switzerland / Q000453:epidemiology