Estimation of tuberculosis incidence and mortality in Egypt using epidemiological models.
To estimate tuberculosis incidence in Egypt, data were collected from national tuberculosis case notification records, vital registration statistics, tuberculin surveys and treatment outcomes. An important source of information was the national comprehensive tuberculin survey results, which estimated a 55.2% case detection rate and a 65.6% case notification rate. The data suggest that only two-thirds of actual cases are being identified and treated by the national programme. The figures for expected versus reported deaths from tuberculosis in Egypt in 1996 suggest underreporting to be almost 80%.
Wahdan
I H
IH
Department of Epidemiology, High Institute of Public Health, University of Alexandria, Alexandria, Egypt.
Sherif
A A
AA
Arafa
M
M
D000293:Adolescent; D000328:Adult; D017677:Age Distribution; D000368:Aged; D000995:Antitubercular Agents / Q000627:therapeutic use; D002423:Cause of Death; D002648:Child; D002675:Child, Preschool; D015331:Cohort Studies; D003625:Data Collection / Q000379:methods; D018563:Disease Notification; D004534:Egypt / Q000453:epidemiology; D004812:Epidemiologic Methods; D005260:Female; D006306:Health Surveys; D006801:Humans; D015994:Incidence; D007223:Infant; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D015233:Models, Statistical; D011159:Population Surveillance / Q000379:methods; D015995:Prevalence; D012042:Registries; D012307:Risk Factors; D017678:Sex Distribution; D016896:Treatment Outcome; D014373:Tuberculin; D014376:Tuberculosis / Q000175:diagnosis / Q000188:drug therapy / Q000453:epidemiology*
D000995:Antitubercular Agents; D014373:Tuberculin