title: The projected increase in glaucoma due to an ageing population.
abstract: The number of cases of primary open angle glaucoma (POAG) in England and Wales is estimated to increase by a third over the 20 years to 2021, and then continue upwards at a similar pace to 2031. The estimates are based on official population projections, organised by 5-year age groups, together with an age-specific prevalence curve for POAG derived from the results of 11 epidemiological prevalence surveys. To cope with additional pressures, a thorough reappraisal of the present system for detection, referral, diagnosis, treatment and monitoring of the disease is likely to be required.
authors.affiliation: International Glaucoma Association, London and King's College Hospital, London.
authors.forename: Maurice W
authors.initials: MW
authors.lastname: Tuck
authors.forename: Ronald Pitts
authors.initials: RP
authors.lastname: Crick
mesh_terms: D000328:Adult; D017677:Age Distribution; D000368:Aged; D000369:Aged, 80 and over; D000375:Aging / Q000502:physiology*; D005544:Forecasting; D005902:Glaucoma, Open-Angle / Q000453:epidemiology*; D006285:Health Planning / Q000639:trends*; D006801:Humans; D008875:Middle Aged; D011157:Population Dynamics; D015995:Prevalence; D006113:United Kingdom / Q000453:epidemiology