A non-linear model for a sexually transmitted disease with contact tracing.
A non-linear model is developed for an epidemic with contact tracing, and its dynamic is studied. We present the data for the Cuban HIV/AIDS epidemic and fit the non-linear model, we obtain estimates for the size of the Cuban HIV epidemic, and for the mean time for detecting a person that is infected with HIV.
de Arazoza
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Université René Descartes, Laboratoire de Statistique Médicale, equipe MAP5, FRE CNRS 2428, 45 rue des Saints-Pères, 75270 Paris 06, France. arazoza@matcom.uh.cu
Lounes
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R
D000163:Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome / Q000453:epidemiology*; D016358:Contact Tracing; D003462:Cuba / Q000453:epidemiology; D004196:Disease Outbreaks; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008954:Models, Biological; D017711:Nonlinear Dynamics