Real-time modelling of influenza outbreaks--a linear regression analysis.
Seasonal outbreaks of influenza exert a considerable burden on health services, and are notorious for their variability from year to year. Making use of historical data from the Scottish sentinelle surveillance since 1972, a potential candidate model has been derived based on simple linear regression. It was applied with a measure of success in the 1999-2000 winter season.
Mooney
J D
JD
Scottish Centre for Infection & Environmental Health, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Holmes
E
E
Christie
P
P
D004196:Disease Outbreaks / Q000706:statistics & numerical data*; D006801:Humans; D007251:Influenza, Human / Q000453:epidemiology*; D016014:Linear Models; D012606:Scotland / Q000453:epidemiology; D012621:Seasons