title: Inferential estimation of polymer quality using bootstrap aggregated neural networks.
abstract: Inferential estimation of polymer quality in a batch polymerisation reactor using bootstrap aggregated neural networks is studied in this paper. Number average molecular weight and weight average molecular weight are estimated from the on-line measurements of reactor temperature, jacket inlet and outlet temperatures, coolant flow rate through the jacket, monomer conversion, and the initial batch conditions. Bootstrap aggregated neural networks are used to enhance the accuracy and robustness of neural network models built from a limited amount of training data. The training data set is re-sampled using bootstrap re-sampling with replacement to form several sets of training data. For each set of training data, a neural network model is developed. The individual neural networks are then combined together to form a bootstrap aggregated neural network. Determination of appropriate weights for combining individual networks using principal component regression is proposed in this paper. Confidence bounds for neural network predictions can also be obtained using the bootstrapping technique. The techniques have been successfully applied to the simulation of a batch methyl methacrylate polymerisation reactor.
authors.affiliation: Centre for Process Analytics and Control Technology, Department of Chemical and Process Engineering, University of Newcastle, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Zhang