A complete classification of Darwinian extinction in ecological interactions.
The evolution of a population by individual-level natural selection can result in the population's extinction. Selection causes the spread of phenotypes with higher relative fitness, but at the same time, selection can also indirectly produce changes in the physical, biotic, or genotypical environment through population interactions (e.g., environment modification, interspecific interactions, and genomic conflict). Because fitness is environment dependent, this can cause mean fitness to decrease, resulting in extinction. I call this process "Darwinian extinction." Examples of Darwinian extinction include a variety of dynamics and modes of extinction, but the variation is constrained. I determine the complete classification of possible dynamics and modes of Darwinian extinction due to ecological interactions, using bifurcation theory and models with ecological and evolutionary changes occurring on different timescales. This classification is also extended to extinctions due to interactions within the population. The mode of extinction may be either sudden or gradual (requiring additional stochastic processes), and each mode has specific types of dynamics associated with it. Darwinian extinction is a robust and normal phenomenon, and this reasonably complete classification can help us understand more thoroughly its role in nature.
Webb
Colleen
C
Department of Ecology and Evolution, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York 14852, USA. ctwebb@princeton.edu
D000818:Animals; D005075:Biological Evolution; D004463:Ecology; D017753:Ecosystem; D008433:Mathematics; D008954:Models, Biological; D011157:Population Dynamics; D012641:Selection, Genetic; D013997:Time Factors