The duration of a sequence of epidemics.
The typical duration of an epidemic in a sequence of linearly ordered populations shows a surprising nonmonotonic behaviour with respect to population size, which was noted by Swinton (1998) [Bull. Math. Biol., 60, 215-230]. This paper gives the sketch of a proof of the phenomenon.
Institut für Mathematik, Universität Zürich, Winterthurerstr. 190, CH-8057 Zürich, Switzerland. adb@amath.unizh.ch
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AD
Barbour
Roman
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Kälin
D000818:Animals; D004196:Disease Outbreaks; D018104:Distemper Virus, Phocine; D004812:Epidemiologic Methods; D016014:Linear Models; D018185:Morbillivirus Infections / Q000453:epidemiology* / Q000635:transmission / Q000662:veterinary; D011156:Population Density; D011157:Population Dynamics; D046048:Seals, Earless; D013269:Stochastic Processes; D013997:Time Factors