title: A proposal for a goodness-of-fit test to the Arnason-Schwarz multisite capture-recapture model.
abstract: In an analysis of capture-recapture data, the identification of a model that fits is a critical step. For the multisite (also called multistate) models used to analyze data gathered at several sites, no reliable test for assessing fit is currently available. We propose a test for the JMV model, a simple generalization of the Arnason-Schwarz (AS) model, in the form of interpretable contingency tables. For the AS model, we suggest complementing the test for the JMV model with a likelihood ratio test of AS vs. JMV. The examination of an example leads us to propose further a partitioning that emphasizes the role of the memory model of Brownie et al. (1993 Biometrics 49, 1173-1187) as a biologically more plausible alternative to the AS model.
authors.affiliation: CEFE/CNRS, 1919 Route de Mende, 34293 Montpellier 05, France. pradel@cefe.cnrs-mop.fr
authors.forename: Roger
authors.initials: R
authors.lastname: Pradel
authors.forename: Claire M A
authors.initials: CM
authors.lastname: Wintrebert
authors.forename: Olivier
authors.initials: O
authors.lastname: Gimenez
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D001522:Behavior, Animal; D001699:Biometry / Q000379:methods*; D003627:Data Interpretation, Statistical; D005777:Geese / Q000502:physiology; D005843:Geography; D016013:Likelihood Functions; D008954:Models, Biological; D013995:Time