title: [Application of SIR model in forecasting and analyzing for SARS].
abstract: An SIR epidemic model is applied on the research of SARS. Parameters in the model are estimated and forecasted by two methods. Time-varying estimated parameters are also compared for Beijing and Hong Kong SARS epidemic situations.
authors.affiliation: Department of Business Statistics and Econometrics, Guanghua School of Management, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China. cqz@gsm.pku.edu.cn
authors.forename: Qizhi
authors.initials: Q
authors.lastname: Chen
mesh_terms: D002681:China / Q000453:epidemiology; D006801:Humans; D015233:Models, Statistical; D045169:Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome / Q000453:epidemiology*