Hindsight not equal to foresight: the effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. 1975.
Fischhoff
B
B
D049673:History, 20th Century; D006801:Humans; D007557:Israel; D007600:Judgment; D007858:Learning; D016013:Likelihood Functions; D015588:Observer Variation; D011336:Probability; D011589:Psychology, Experimental / Q000266:history*; D035501:Uncertainty