The association of left ventricular ejection fraction, mortality, and cause of death in stable outpatients with heart failure.
OBJECTIVE
The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic importance of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in stable outpatients with heart failure (HF).


BACKGROUND
Although LVEF is an accepted prognostic indicator of prognosis in HF patients, the relationship of LVEF and mortality across the full spectrum of LVEF is incompletely understood.


METHODS
We examined the association of LVEF and outcomes among 7,788 stable HF patients enrolled in the Digitalis Investigation Group trial.


RESULTS
During mean follow-up of 37 months, mortality was substantial in all LVEF groups (range, LVEF <or= 15%, 51.7%, LVEF > 55%, 23.5%). Among patients with LVEF <or= 45%, mortality decreased in a near linear fashion across successively higher LVEF groups (LVEF < 15%, 51.7%; LVEF 36% to 45%, 25.6%; p < 0.0001). This association was present after multivariable adjustment, although the magnitude of this associated risk was reduced (LVEF <or= 15%: hazard ratio [HR] 1.77, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.48 to 2.11; LVEF 16% to 25%: HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.28 to 1.61; LVEF 26% to 35%: HR 1.10, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.28; LVEF 36% to 45%: referent). In contrast, mortality rates were comparable among patients with LVEF > 45% both before (LVEF 46% to 55%: 23.3%; LVEF > 55%: 23.5%; p = 0.25), and after multivariable adjustment (LVEF 46% to 55%: HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.77 to 1.10; LVEF > 55%: HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.71 to 1.09; LVEF 36% to 45%: referent). Patients with lower LVEF were at increased absolute risk of death due to arrhythmia and worsening HF, but these were leading causes of death in all LVEF groups.


CONCLUSIONS
Among HF patients in sinus rhythm, higher LVEFs were associated with a linear decrease in mortality up to an LVEF of 45%. However, increases above 45% were not associated with further reductions in mortality.
Curtis
Jeptha P
JP
Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut 06520-8025, USA.
Sokol
Seth I
SI
Wang
Yongfei
Y
Rathore
Saif S
SS
Ko
Dennis T
DT
Jadbabaie
Farid
F
Portnay
Edward L
EL
Marshalko
Stephen J
SJ
Radford
Martha J
MJ
Krumholz
Harlan M
HM
D000368:Aged; D002423:Cause of Death; D005260:Female; D006333:Heart Failure / Q000401:mortality* / Q000503:physiopathology*; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D008875:Middle Aged; D010045:Outpatients; D011237:Predictive Value of Tests; D011379:Prognosis; D013318:Stroke Volume / Q000502:physiology*; D016019:Survival Analysis