title: Water quality characterization and mathematical modeling of dissolved oxygen in the East and West Ponds, Jamaica Bay Wildlife Refuge.
abstract: The current study was undertaken to characterize the East and West Ponds and develop a mathematical model of the effects of nutrient and BOD loading on dissolved oxygen (DO) concentrations in these ponds. The model predicted that both ponds will recover adequately given the average expected range of nutrient and BOD loading due to waste from surface runoff and migratory birds. The predicted dissolved oxygen levels in both ponds were greater than 5.0 mg/L, and were supported by DO levels in the field which were typically above 5.0 mg/L during the period of this study. The model predicted a steady-state NBOD concentration of 12.0-14.0 mg/L in the East Pond, compared to an average measured value of 3.73 mg/L in 1994 and an average measured value of 12.51 mg/L in a 1996-97 study. The model predicted that the NBOD concentration in the West Pond would be under 3.0 mg/L compared to the average measured values of 7.50 mg/L in 1997, and 8.51 mg/L in 1994. The model predicted that phosphorus (as PO4(3-)) concentration in the East Pond will approach 4.2 mg/L in 4 months, compared to measured average value of 2.01 mg/L in a 1994 study. The model predicted that phosphorus concentration in the West Pond will approach 1.00 mg/L, compared to a measured average phosphorus (as PO4(3-)) concentration of 1.57 mg/L in a 1994 study.
authors.affiliation: Department of Civil Engineering and Construction, Bradley University, Peoria, Illinois, USA. kmaillac@bradley.edu
authors.forename: Krishnanand
authors.initials: K
authors.lastname: Maillacheruvu
authors.forename: D
authors.initials: D
authors.lastname: Roy
authors.forename: J
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Tanacredi
mesh_terms: D000818:Animals; D001717:Birds; D004784:Environmental Monitoring; D005068:Eutrophication; D005544:Forecasting; D007563:Jamaica; D008962:Models, Theoretical; D009584:Nitrogen / Q000032:analysis*; D010100:Oxygen / Q000378:metabolism*; D010758:Phosphorus / Q000032:analysis*; D014873:Water Pollutants / Q000032:analysis*
chemical_list: D014873:Water Pollutants; D010758:Phosphorus; D009584:Nitrogen; D010100:Oxygen