title: Fisher Lecture: the 2002 R. A. Fisher lecture: dedicated to the memory of Shanti S. Gupta. Variances are not always nuisance parameters.
abstract: In classical problems, e.g., comparing two populations, fitting a regression surface, etc., variability is a nuisance parameter. The term "nuisance parameter" is meant here in both the technical and the practical sense. However, there are many instances where understanding the structure of variability is just as central as understanding the mean structure. The purpose of this article is to review a few of these problems. I focus in particular on two issues: (a) the determination of the validity of an assay; and (b) the issue of the power for detecting health effects from nutrient intakes when the latter are measured by food frequency questionnaires. I will also briefly mention the problems of variance structure in generalized linear mixed models, robust parameter design in quality technology, and the signal in microarrays. In these and other problems, treating variance structure as a nuisance instead of a central part of the modeling effort not only leads to inefficient estimation of means, but also to misleading conclusions.
authors.affiliation: Department of Statistics, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas 77843-3143, USA. carroll@stat.tamu.edu
authors.forename: Raymond J
authors.initials: RJ
authors.lastname: Carroll
mesh_terms: D000704:Analysis of Variance; D005069:Evaluation Studies as Topic; D006801:Humans; D007118:Immunoassay / Q000592:standards; D015233:Models, Statistical; D015596:Nutrition Assessment; D009749:Nutrition Surveys; D020411:Oligonucleotide Array Sequence Analysis / Q000379:methods / Q000592:standards