Severe acute respiratory syndrome: temporal stability and geographic variation in case-fatality rates and doubling times.
We analyzed temporal stability and geographic trends in cumulative case-fatality rates and average doubling times of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). In part, we account for correlations between case-fatality rates and doubling times through differences in control measures. Factors that may alter future estimates of case-fatality rates, reasons for heterogeneity in doubling times among countries, and implications for the control of SARS are discussed.
Galvani
Alison P
AP
University of California, Berkeley, California, USA. agalvani@nature.berkeley.edu
Lei
Xiudong
X
Jewell
Nicholas P
NP
D002681:China / Q000453:epidemiology; D016001:Confidence Intervals; D014943:Global Health; D006801:Humans; D045169:Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome / Q000453:epidemiology / Q000401:mortality / Q000517:prevention & control; D013997:Time Factors