The future for fisheries.
Formal analyses of long-term global marine fisheries prospects have yet to be performed, because fisheries research focuses on local, species-specific management issues. Extrapolation of present trends implies expansion of bottom fisheries into deeper waters, serious impact on biodiversity, and declining global catches, the last possibly aggravated by fuel cost increases. Examination of four scenarios, covering various societal development choices, suggests that the negative trends now besetting fisheries can be turned around, and their supporting ecosystems rebuilt, at least partly.
Pauly
Daniel
D
Sea Around Us Project, Fisheries Centre, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada. d.pauly@fisheries.ubc.ca
Alder
Jackie
J
Bennett
Elena
E
Christensen
Villy
V
Tyedmers
Peter
P
Watson
Reg
R
D000818:Animals; D044822:Biodiversity; D003247:Conservation of Natural Resources; D019049:Developed Countries; D003906:Developing Countries; D017753:Ecosystem; D004777:Environment; D005398:Fisheries / Q000191:economics; D005399:Fishes; D005544:Forecasting; D033161:Government Regulation; D007391:International Cooperation; D011640:Public Policy