Horseshoe pitchers' hot hands.
Gilovich, Vallone, and Tversky's (1985) analysis of basketball data indicates that a player's chances of making a shot are not affected by the results of earlier shots. However, their basketball data do not control for several confounding influences. An analysis of horseshoe pitching, which does not have these defects, indicates that players do have modest hot and cold spells.
Smith
Gary
G
Department of Economics, Pomona College, Claremont, California 91711, USA. gsmith@pomona.edu
D001490:Basketball; D006801:Humans; D011336:Probability; D011597:Psychomotor Performance