title: Predictors of short-term outcome in acute chest pain without ST-segment elevation.
abstract: BACKGROUND
  Management of acute chest pain in the emergency room constitutes a challenge.
  
  
  METHODS
  Seven hundred and one consecutive patients were evaluated by clinical history (chest pain score and risk factors), ECG, troponin I and early (<24 h) exercise testing in low risk patients (n=165). A composite end-point (recurrent unstable angina, acute myocardial infarction or cardiac death) was recorded during hospital stay or in ambulatory care settings for patients discharged after early exercise testing.
  
  
  RESULTS
  The end-point occurred in 122 patients (17%). Multivariate analysis identified the following predictors: chest pain score > or =11 points (OR=1.8, 2-2.8, 95% CI, P=0.007), age > or =68 (OR 1.6, 1.1-2.4 CI 95%, P=0.03), insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (OR 1.9, 1.1-3.4 CI 95%, P=0.02), a history of coronary surgery (OR 3.3, 1.5-7.2 CI 95%, P=0.003), ST-segment depression (OR 1.9, 1.2-3.0 CI 95%, P=0.009) and troponin I elevation (OR 1.6, 1.1-2.5, CI 95%, P=0.05). ST-segment depression produced a high end-point increase (31 vs. 13%, P=0.0001). Troponin I elevation increased the risk in the subgroup without ST-segment depression (20 vs. 11%, P=0.006) but did not further modify the risk in the subgroup with ST depression (31 vs. 28%, ns). Nevertheless, the negative ECG and troponin I subgroup showed a non-negligible end-point rate (16% when pain score > or =11 or 7% when pain score <11, P=0.004). Finally, no patient with a negative exercise test presented events compared to 7% of those with a non-negative test (RR=2.5, 2.1-3.1 95% CI, P=0.01).
  
  
  CONCLUSIONS
  Emergency room evaluation of chest pain should not focus on a single parameter; on the contrary, the clinical history, ECG, troponin and early exercise testing must be globally analysed.
authors.affiliation: Servei de Cardiologia, Hospital Clinic Universitari, Blasco Ibáñez 17, 46010 València, Spain. sanchis_juafor@gva.es
authors.forename: Juan
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Sanchis
authors.forename: Vicent
authors.initials: V
authors.lastname: Bodí
authors.forename: Angel
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Llácer
authors.forename: Lorenzo
authors.initials: L
authors.lastname: Facila
authors.forename: Julio
authors.initials: J
authors.lastname: Núñez
authors.forename: Araceli
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Roselló
authors.forename: Eva
authors.initials: E
authors.lastname: Plancha
authors.forename: Angel
authors.initials: A
authors.lastname: Ferrero
authors.forename: Jose A
authors.initials: JA
authors.lastname: Ferrero
authors.forename: Francisco J
authors.initials: FJ
authors.lastname: Chorro
mesh_terms: D000208:Acute Disease; D000368:Aged; D002637:Chest Pain / Q000175:diagnosis* / Q000453:epidemiology; D004562:Electrocardiography; D004636:Emergency Service, Hospital; D005080:Exercise Test; D005260:Female; D006801:Humans; D008297:Male; D015999:Multivariate Analysis; D012307:Risk Factors; D019210:Troponin I / Q000097:blood
chemical_list: D019210:Troponin I