Severe acute respiratory syndrome epidemic in Asia.
We analyzed the dynamics of cumulative severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) cases in Singapore, Hong Kong, and Beijing using the Richards model. The predicted total SARS incidence was close to the actual number of cases; the predicted cessation date was close to the lower limit of the 95% confidence interval.
Zhou
Guofa
G
Department of Biological Sciences, State University of New York at Buffalo, Buffalo, New York 14260, USA. gzhou2@buffalo.edu
Yan
Guiyun
G
D002681:China / Q000453:epidemiology; D006723:Hong Kong / Q000453:epidemiology; D006801:Humans; D008954:Models, Biological; D045169:Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome / Q000453:epidemiology*; D012846:Singapore / Q000453:epidemiology