Outbreaks of Hantavirus induced by seasonality.
Using a model for rodent population dynamics, we study outbreaks of Hantavirus infection induced by the alternation of seasons. Neither season by itself satisfies the environmental requirements for propagation of the disease. This result can be explained in terms of the seasonal interruption of the relaxation process of the mouse population toward equilibrium, and may shed light on the reported connection between climate variations and outbreaks of the disease.
Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry and Institute for Nonlinear Science, University of California San Diego, 9500 Gilman Drive, La Jolla, California 92093-0340, USA.
J
J
Buceta
C
C
Escudero
F J
FJ
de la Rubia
Katja
K
Lindenberg
D000818:Animals; D003198:Computer Simulation; D004196:Disease Outbreaks / Q000662:veterinary*; D004198:Disease Susceptibility; D018562:Disease Transmission, Infectious / Q000662:veterinary; D017753:Ecosystem; D018778:Hantavirus Infections / Q000635:transmission / Q000662:veterinary*; D051379:Mice; D008954:Models, Biological; D010507:Periodicity; D011157:Population Dynamics; D015203:Reproducibility of Results; D012376:Rodent Diseases / Q000453:epidemiology*; D012621:Seasons; D012680:Sensitivity and Specificity